Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong primary performance, backed by endorsements from former President Trump and Ernst, while Turek advanced after defeating a prominent primary challenger. Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt and Hinson's fundraising advantage support her modest lead in trader consensus. Recent polling averages show a close contest, with Hinson ahead by roughly 2-3 points in most surveys conducted through early August, reflecting competitive dynamics where Turek's profile and focus on economic issues for middle-class families offset some structural Republican advantages in this toss-up race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
$178,711 Vol.
$178,711 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
56%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$178,711 Vol.
$178,711 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$89,527 Vol.
56%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,185 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong primary performance, backed by endorsements from former President Trump and Ernst, while Turek advanced after defeating a prominent primary challenger. Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt and Hinson's fundraising advantage support her modest lead in trader consensus. Recent polling averages show a close contest, with Hinson ahead by roughly 2-3 points in most surveys conducted through early August, reflecting competitive dynamics where Turek's profile and focus on economic issues for middle-class families offset some structural Republican advantages in this toss-up race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volume
$178,711Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong primary performance, backed by endorsements from former President Trump and Ernst, while Turek advanced after defeating a prominent primary challenger. Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt and Hinson's fundraising advantage support her modest lead in trader consensus. Recent polling averages show a close contest, with Hinson ahead by roughly 2-3 points in most surveys conducted through early August, reflecting competitive dynamics where Turek's profile and focus on economic issues for middle-class families offset some structural Republican advantages in this toss-up race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$178,711Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Hinson secured her party's nomination with strong primary performance, backed by endorsements from former President Trump and Ernst, while Turek advanced after defeating a prominent primary challenger. Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt and Hinson's fundraising advantage support her modest lead in trader consensus. Recent polling averages show a close contest, with Hinson ahead by roughly 2-3 points in most surveys conducted through early August, reflecting competitive dynamics where Turek's profile and focus on economic issues for middle-class families offset some structural Republican advantages in this toss-up race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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