Ohio's newly adopted congressional map, finalized in late 2025, reconfigured several districts and shifted the partisan balance, leaving Democrats with five seats heading into 2026 while making their three most competitive holdings—OH-1, OH-9, and OH-13—more Republican-leaning based on 2024 presidential results. Incumbents Greg Landsman, Marcy Kaptur, and Emilia Sykes face reelection in districts that leaned toward Donald Trump, with primary contests already shaping candidate fields ahead of the May 2026 primaries. Midterm dynamics under a Republican administration, combined with national polling trends and local turnout patterns in swing areas, create uncertainty over whether Democrats can defend all seats or net additional flips. The close clustering around five to seven Democratic seats reflects ongoing assessments of these battlegrounds, where modest shifts in voter preference or turnout could alter the final count before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado7+ 34%
5 26%
6 25%
4 17%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<2
<1%
2
<1%
3
4%
4
17%
5
26%
6
25%
7+
34%
7+ 34%
5 26%
6 25%
4 17%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<2
$431 Vol.
<1%
2
$312 Vol.
<1%
3
$342 Vol.
4%
4
$509 Vol.
17%
5
$466 Vol.
26%
6
$586 Vol.
25%
7+
$1,397 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Ohio in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Ohio US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ohio's newly adopted congressional map, finalized in late 2025, reconfigured several districts and shifted the partisan balance, leaving Democrats with five seats heading into 2026 while making their three most competitive holdings—OH-1, OH-9, and OH-13—more Republican-leaning based on 2024 presidential results. Incumbents Greg Landsman, Marcy Kaptur, and Emilia Sykes face reelection in districts that leaned toward Donald Trump, with primary contests already shaping candidate fields ahead of the May 2026 primaries. Midterm dynamics under a Republican administration, combined with national polling trends and local turnout patterns in swing areas, create uncertainty over whether Democrats can defend all seats or net additional flips. The close clustering around five to seven Democratic seats reflects ongoing assessments of these battlegrounds, where modest shifts in voter preference or turnout could alter the final count before November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Ohio in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Ohio US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Ohio US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$4,043Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Ohio in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Ohio US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ohio's newly adopted congressional map, finalized in late 2025, reconfigured several districts and shifted the partisan balance, leaving Democrats with five seats heading into 2026 while making their three most competitive holdings—OH-1, OH-9, and OH-13—more Republican-leaning based on 2024 presidential results. Incumbents Greg Landsman, Marcy Kaptur, and Emilia Sykes face reelection in districts that leaned toward Donald Trump, with primary contests already shaping candidate fields ahead of the May 2026 primaries. Midterm dynamics under a Republican administration, combined with national polling trends and local turnout patterns in swing areas, create uncertainty over whether Democrats can defend all seats or net additional flips. The close clustering around five to seven Democratic seats reflects ongoing assessments of these battlegrounds, where modest shifts in voter preference or turnout could alter the final count before November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Ohio in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Ohio US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Ohio US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,043Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ohio's newly adopted congressional map, finalized in late 2025, reconfigured several districts and shifted the partisan balance, leaving Democrats with five seats heading into 2026 while making their three most competitive holdings—OH-1, OH-9, and OH-13—more Republican-leaning based on 2024 presidential results. Incumbents Greg Landsman, Marcy Kaptur, and Emilia Sykes face reelection in districts that leaned toward Donald Trump, with primary contests already shaping candidate fields ahead of the May 2026 primaries. Midterm dynamics under a Republican administration, combined with national polling trends and local turnout patterns in swing areas, create uncertainty over whether Democrats can defend all seats or net additional flips. The close clustering around five to seven Democratic seats reflects ongoing assessments of these battlegrounds, where modest shifts in voter preference or turnout could alter the final count before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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