Stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and the absence of scheduled high-level contacts explain traders assigning 61% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Kremlin statements this week confirmed no plans for a call or envoy visit to Russia, following the 2025 Alaska summit and a canceled Budapest proposal, while U.S. negotiators maintain only indirect channels. Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit shortly after Trump-Xi talks, supports China’s elevated 19.5% share as a potential neutral site. Modest probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, or Turkey reflect historical diplomatic precedents and lingering hopes for a breakthrough before the December G20, though current momentum favors delay.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOnde Trump e Putin se encontrarão em 2026?
Onde Trump e Putin se encontrarão em 2026?
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
61%
China
20%
Russia
5%
Gulf country
5%
United States
5%
Turkey
3%
Belarus
2%
Switzerland
2%
Other
1%
Other EU country
1%
South Korea
1%
Ukraine
1%
Finland
1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 Vol.
$48,275 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Nenhum encontro até 31 de dezembro
$6,312 Vol.
61%
China
$10,324 Vol.
20%
Russia
$3,096 Vol.
5%
Gulf country
$2,215 Vol.
5%
United States
$2,337 Vol.
5%
Turkey
$3,232 Vol.
3%
Belarus
$2,737 Vol.
2%
Switzerland
$2,740 Vol.
2%
Other
$3,193 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$2,197 Vol.
1%
South Korea
$1,943 Vol.
1%
Ukraine
$1,967 Vol.
1%
Finland
$2,104 Vol.
1%
Japan
$1,963 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$1,914 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and the absence of scheduled high-level contacts explain traders assigning 61% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Kremlin statements this week confirmed no plans for a call or envoy visit to Russia, following the 2025 Alaska summit and a canceled Budapest proposal, while U.S. negotiators maintain only indirect channels. Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit shortly after Trump-Xi talks, supports China’s elevated 19.5% share as a potential neutral site. Modest probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, or Turkey reflect historical diplomatic precedents and lingering hopes for a breakthrough before the December G20, though current momentum favors delay.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$48,275Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and the absence of scheduled high-level contacts explain traders assigning 61% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Kremlin statements this week confirmed no plans for a call or envoy visit to Russia, following the 2025 Alaska summit and a canceled Budapest proposal, while U.S. negotiators maintain only indirect channels. Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit shortly after Trump-Xi talks, supports China’s elevated 19.5% share as a potential neutral site. Modest probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, or Turkey reflect historical diplomatic precedents and lingering hopes for a breakthrough before the December G20, though current momentum favors delay.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$48,275Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled Ukraine peace negotiations and the absence of scheduled high-level contacts explain traders assigning 61% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Kremlin statements this week confirmed no plans for a call or envoy visit to Russia, following the 2025 Alaska summit and a canceled Budapest proposal, while U.S. negotiators maintain only indirect channels. Russia-China coordination, highlighted by Putin’s May 2026 Beijing visit shortly after Trump-Xi talks, supports China’s elevated 19.5% share as a potential neutral site. Modest probabilities for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, or Turkey reflect historical diplomatic precedents and lingering hopes for a breakthrough before the December G20, though current momentum favors delay.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions