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LíBano previsões e probabilidades

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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

21%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$226K today

$646K Liq.

203

Ends em 1 dia

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

<1%

ReLebanon

$617K Vol.

$397K Liq.

15

Ends há 29 dias

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

22%

$213K Vol.

$41.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

18%

$25.3K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

14%

$791 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Saudi Arabia vs. Lebanon

Saudi Arabia vs. Lebanon

51%

Lebanon

$81 Vol.

$117 Liq.

Ends em 11 dias

Lebanon vs. India

Lebanon vs. India

50%

India

$90 Vol.

$116 Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

62%

Lebanon

$707K Vol.

$234K today

$302K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

76%

Lebanon

$111K Vol.

$325K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

26%

Lebanon

$786K Vol.

$159K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

6%

July 31

$12M Vol.

$87.7K today

$366K Liq.

172

Ends há 29 dias

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

10%

July 31

$9M Vol.

$78.8K today

$158K Liq.

596

Ends há 29 dias

Which countries will sign the US x Iran deal by June 30?

Which countries will sign the US x Iran deal by June 30?

3%

Qatar

$195K Vol.

$179K Liq.

7

Ends em 2 dias

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

96%

Turkey

$526K Vol.

$86.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

49%

December 31

$568K Vol.

$84.0K Liq.

25

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

1%

June 30

$115K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

8

Ends em 1 dia

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

4%

June 30

$49.5K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

3

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$918K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

47

Ends há 3 meses

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

1%

June 30

$47.6K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

Ends há 29 dias

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

3%

June 30

$102K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

4

Ends há 22 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like LíBano.

Polymarket currently hosts 25 active markets for LíBano that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 6% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on LíBano predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.