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LíBano previsões e probabilidades

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O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?

O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?

17%

31 de dezembro

$2M Vol.

$173K today

$13.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel se retira do Líbano por...?

Israel se retira do Líbano por...?

10%

30 de junho

$1M Vol.

$121K today

$60.0K Liq.

21

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

55%

May 17

$102K Vol.

$91.2K today

$88.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 3 dias

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

99%

$163K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

16

Ends em 17 dias

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

18%

30 de junho

$840K Vol.

$62.0K Liq.

14

Ends em 17 dias

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares do Líbano

Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares do Líbano

4%

Forças Libanesas (FL)

$524K Vol.

$178K Liq.

13

Ends em 17 dias

Israel e Líbano normalizam relações antes de 2027?

Israel e Líbano normalizam relações antes de 2027?

23%

Sim

$153K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

3%

May 31

$162K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

23

Ends em 17 dias

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

34%

$7.6K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

May 31

$28.9K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

8

Ends em 17 dias

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

11%

$7.1K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Naim Qassem como secretário-geral do Hezbollah por...?

Naim Qassem como secretário-geral do Hezbollah por...?

14%

30 de junho de 2026

$762K Vol.

$15.4K Liq.

44

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

19%

June 30

$35.2K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

4

Ends há 14 dias

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

49%

$119 Vol.

$733 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like LíBano.

Polymarket currently hosts 14 active markets for LíBano that lets you track or trade on predictions like “O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel e Líbano normalizam relações antes de 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “O Hezbollah vai se desarmar até...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 17% chance to 31 de dezembro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on LíBano predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.