Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict advanced past the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reported reaching the outskirts of Choukine after passing Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Mayfadoun, accompanied by airstrikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework for phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones and Lebanese army deployment beginning in July. These diplomatic steps and the resulting de-escalation have shaped trader consensus around limited further incursions, with any renewed clashes, delays in disengagement, or shifts in frontline control remaining the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities for ground entry into the municipality by the resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIsraeli forces enter Choukine by...?
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?
$169,548 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
1%
$169,548 Vol.
30 de setembro
$3,022 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict advanced past the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reported reaching the outskirts of Choukine after passing Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Mayfadoun, accompanied by airstrikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework for phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones and Lebanese army deployment beginning in July. These diplomatic steps and the resulting de-escalation have shaped trader consensus around limited further incursions, with any renewed clashes, delays in disengagement, or shifts in frontline control remaining the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities for ground entry into the municipality by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
Volume
$169,548Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict advanced past the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reported reaching the outskirts of Choukine after passing Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Mayfadoun, accompanied by airstrikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework for phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones and Lebanese army deployment beginning in July. These diplomatic steps and the resulting de-escalation have shaped trader consensus around limited further incursions, with any renewed clashes, delays in disengagement, or shifts in frontline control remaining the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities for ground entry into the municipality by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Choukine in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Choukine will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$169,548Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon during the 2026 conflict advanced past the Litani River in late May toward Hezbollah positions near Nabatieh, with troops reported reaching the outskirts of Choukine after passing Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Mayfadoun, accompanied by airstrikes and evacuation orders. A US-brokered truce took effect in mid-June, followed by a framework for phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones and Lebanese army deployment beginning in July. These diplomatic steps and the resulting de-escalation have shaped trader consensus around limited further incursions, with any renewed clashes, delays in disengagement, or shifts in frontline control remaining the primary variables that could alter implied probabilities for ground entry into the municipality by the resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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