Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, after a rapid offensive that also captured the port of Mocha and nearby coastal positions from Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces. The island’s location in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait gives the Iran-aligned group physical control over a key chokepoint dividing shipping channels, complementing its existing Red Sea coastline dominance amid the broader US-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Government-aligned forces withdrew without major resistance, and Saudi responses have so far been limited to airstrikes. Analysts note that dislodging entrenched Houthi positions would require a significant amphibious or coalition operation, which remains uncertain given restrained US involvement and ongoing diplomatic efforts. Any reversal of control would hinge on coordinated military pressure or negotiated withdrawal within the market’s resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
3%
31 de outubro
31%
31 de dezembro
33%
$1,851 Vol.
30 de setembro
$674 Vol.
3%
31 de outubro
$480 Vol.
31%
31 de dezembro
$697 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, after a rapid offensive that also captured the port of Mocha and nearby coastal positions from Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces. The island’s location in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait gives the Iran-aligned group physical control over a key chokepoint dividing shipping channels, complementing its existing Red Sea coastline dominance amid the broader US-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Government-aligned forces withdrew without major resistance, and Saudi responses have so far been limited to airstrikes. Analysts note that dislodging entrenched Houthi positions would require a significant amphibious or coalition operation, which remains uncertain given restrained US involvement and ongoing diplomatic efforts. Any reversal of control would hinge on coordinated military pressure or negotiated withdrawal within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$1,851Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, after a rapid offensive that also captured the port of Mocha and nearby coastal positions from Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces. The island’s location in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait gives the Iran-aligned group physical control over a key chokepoint dividing shipping channels, complementing its existing Red Sea coastline dominance amid the broader US-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Government-aligned forces withdrew without major resistance, and Saudi responses have so far been limited to airstrikes. Analysts note that dislodging entrenched Houthi positions would require a significant amphibious or coalition operation, which remains uncertain given restrained US involvement and ongoing diplomatic efforts. Any reversal of control would hinge on coordinated military pressure or negotiated withdrawal within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,851Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Houthis seized Perim Island (Mayun) on September 11, 2026, after a rapid offensive that also captured the port of Mocha and nearby coastal positions from Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces. The island’s location in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait gives the Iran-aligned group physical control over a key chokepoint dividing shipping channels, complementing its existing Red Sea coastline dominance amid the broader US-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Government-aligned forces withdrew without major resistance, and Saudi responses have so far been limited to airstrikes. Analysts note that dislodging entrenched Houthi positions would require a significant amphibious or coalition operation, which remains uncertain given restrained US involvement and ongoing diplomatic efforts. Any reversal of control would hinge on coordinated military pressure or negotiated withdrawal within the market’s resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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