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icon for O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?
Política·Canadá

O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?

icon for O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?
Política·Canadá

O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?

NOVO
31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,254 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro de 2026

$1,226 Vol.

2%

31 de dezembro de 2027

$28 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canadian leaders have explicitly ruled out pursuing full EU membership, with Prime Minister Mark Carney stating Canada seeks a "unique alliance" rather than accession. In mid-September 2026, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed Canada as the bloc's first "associate member" during her State of the Union address, an unprecedented status without legal definition in EU treaties. Carney welcomed deeper cooperation on defense, critical minerals, energy, AI, and trade but emphasized the proposal falls short of membership, citing geographic barriers and a desire to preserve sovereignty. An EU-Canada summit scheduled for late October offers a venue to define any new framework, though full accession remains structurally and politically improbable given treaty requirements and Ottawa's public position.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority.

An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify.

Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,254
Data de Término
1 jan 2028
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Canadian leaders have explicitly ruled out pursuing full EU membership, with Prime Minister Mark Carney stating Canada seeks a "unique alliance" rather than accession. In mid-September 2026, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed Canada as the bloc's first "associate member" during her State of the Union address, an unprecedented status without legal definition in EU treaties. Carney welcomed deeper cooperation on defense, critical minerals, energy, AI, and trade but emphasized the proposal falls short of membership, citing geographic barriers and a desire to preserve sovereignty. An EU-Canada summit scheduled for late October offers a venue to define any new framework, though full accession remains structurally and politically improbable given treaty requirements and Ottawa's public position.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority.

An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify.

Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority. An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies. A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify. Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify. Once a qualifying application has been submitted, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the European Union accepts, rejects, deems inadmissible, or acts on the application, and whether the application is later withdrawn. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Government of Canada, the Council of the European Union, the European Council, and the European Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,254
Data de Término
1 jan 2028
Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2027" at 9%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2027" at just 9%, with "31 de dezembro de 2026" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "O Canadá solicita a adesão plena à UE até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.