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Starmer previsões e probabilidades

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Starmer officially leaves office by…?

Starmer officially leaves office by…?

99%

July 31

$74.9K Vol.

$72.7K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

2%

$69.5K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

92%

Starmer - UK PM

$6M Vol.

$2M today

$937K Liq.

93

Ends em 6 meses

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

25%

Jimmy Kimmel

$1M Vol.

$137K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

98%

Andy Burnham

$15M Vol.

$177K today

$3M Liq.

129

Ends em 6 meses

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

47%

No next Foreign Secretary in 2026

$62.5K Vol.

$193K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

13%

Mohammed bin Salman

$714K Vol.

$163K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Who will Trump speak to in July?

Who will Trump speak to in July?

87%

Ursula von der Leyen

$12.2K Vol.

$146K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Who will Trump meet with in July?

Who will Trump meet with in July?

82%

Keir Starmer

$11.2K Vol.

$72.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

100%

Andy Burnham

$110K Vol.

$118K Liq.

8

Ends em 6 meses

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

83%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$680K Vol.

$183K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

95%

Louise Haigh

$21.2K Vol.

$111K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

6%

Joseph Aoun

$174K Vol.

$107K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

100%

June 30

$176K Vol.

$105K Liq.

15

Ends em 1 dia

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

99%

September 30

$60.9K Vol.

$107K Liq.

3

Ends em 3 meses

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

77%

No next Home Secretary in 2026

$14.5K Vol.

$143K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

95%

$15.7K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$797K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

15

Ends há 6 meses

UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

62%

June 30, 2027

$151 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Starmer.

Polymarket currently hosts 19 active markets for Starmer that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer officially leaves office by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Andy Burnham. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Starmer predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.