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Geopolítica·Liderança Trabalhista Do Reino Unido

Próximo líder fora do poder antes de 2027? (Sem Starmer ou Petro)

icon for Próximo líder fora do poder antes de 2027? (Sem Starmer ou Petro)
Geopolítica·Liderança Trabalhista Do Reino Unido

Próximo líder fora do poder antes de 2027? (Sem Starmer ou Petro)

dez 31

dez 31

Netanyahu - Primeiro-ministro de Israel 33%

Nenhum antes de 2027 33%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba 7.5%

Merz - Chanceler da Alemanha 3.0%

Polymarket

$199,211 Vol.

Netanyahu - Primeiro-ministro de Israel 33%

Nenhum antes de 2027 33%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba 7.5%

Merz - Chanceler da Alemanha 3.0%

Polymarket

$199,211 Vol.

Netanyahu - Primeiro-ministro de Israel

$17,982 Vol.

33%

Nenhum antes de 2027

$76,718 Vol.

33%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente de Cuba

$7,008 Vol.

8%

Merz - Chanceler da Alemanha

$4,323 Vol.

3%

Macron - Presidente da França

$6,723 Vol.

2%

Xi - Secretário-Geral do PCC

$6,374 Vol.

2%

Lula da Silva - Presidente do Brasil

$5,390 Vol.

2%

Zelenskyy - Presidente da Ucrânia

$5,305 Vol.

2%

Lecornu - Primeiro-ministro da França

$5,844 Vol.

2%

Sánchez - Primeiro-ministro espanhol

$4,675 Vol.

2%

Putin - Presidente da Rússia

$5,522 Vol.

2%

Abbas - Presidente da Palestina

$4,623 Vol.

2%

Rodríguez - Presidente Interina da Venezuela

$8,501 Vol.

1%

Trump - Presidente dos EUA

$4,029 Vol.

1%

Kim - Líder Supremo da Coreia do Norte

$3,995 Vol.

1%

Erdoğan - Presidente da Turquia

$5,168 Vol.

1%

Takaichi - PM do Japão

$4,277 Vol.

1%

Sheinbaum - Presidente do México

$5,351 Vol.

<1%

Newsom - Governador da Califórnia

$3,621 Vol.

<1%

Milei - Presidente da Argentina

$3,818 Vol.

<1%

al-Sharaa - Presidente da Síria

$5,053 Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Primeiro-ministro da Austrália

$4,909 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu and the "none before 2027" outcome remain tied near 33 percent each due to Israel's October 27, 2026, parliamentary election, where the incumbent faces unfavorable polling amid coalition tensions, Gaza policy disputes, and U.S. diplomatic pressure. Traders weigh the risk of Netanyahu's ouster against his history of political resilience and the possibility that no listed leader departs office by year-end. Díaz-Canel registers at 7.5 percent amid earlier U.S. signals favoring his replacement during bilateral talks, yet recent Cuban leadership statements indicate continuity. Lower-probability figures such as Merz, Xi, and Macron reflect stable domestic positions with few near-term electoral or institutional triggers before 2027. Upcoming Israeli results and any Cuba negotiations could widen the gap between the leaders.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$199,211
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu and the "none before 2027" outcome remain tied near 33 percent each due to Israel's October 27, 2026, parliamentary election, where the incumbent faces unfavorable polling amid coalition tensions, Gaza policy disputes, and U.S. diplomatic pressure. Traders weigh the risk of Netanyahu's ouster against his history of political resilience and the possibility that no listed leader departs office by year-end. Díaz-Canel registers at 7.5 percent amid earlier U.S. signals favoring his replacement during bilateral talks, yet recent Cuban leadership statements indicate continuity. Lower-probability figures such as Merz, Xi, and Macron reflect stable domestic positions with few near-term electoral or institutional triggers before 2027. Upcoming Israeli results and any Cuba negotiations could widen the gap between the leaders.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$199,211
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo líder fora do poder antes de 2027? (Sem Starmer ou Petro)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Netanyahu - Primeiro-ministro de Israel" at 33%, followed by "Nenhum antes de 2027" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo líder fora do poder antes de 2027? (Sem Starmer ou Petro)" has generated $199.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo líder fora do poder antes de 2027? (Sem Starmer ou Petro)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo líder fora do poder antes de 2027? (Sem Starmer ou Petro)" is "Netanyahu - Primeiro-ministro de Israel" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nenhum antes de 2027" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo líder fora do poder antes de 2027? (Sem Starmer ou Petro)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.