Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign continues to drive leadership turnover across the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, with more than 100 senior military officers removed since 2022 and over one million disciplinary cases filed in 2025 alone. Recent developments include the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following the October 2025 expulsion of nine other top generals, while April 2026 saw former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui placed under scrutiny. Analysts link these actions to Xi’s emphasis on absolute political loyalty and the removal of entrenched networks ahead of the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, where he is expected to pursue a fourth term and install a new cohort of officials. The pattern of purges, which has hollowed out much of the CMC, reflects institutional efforts to enforce discipline and reshape elite alignments before the next major leadership transition cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$157,138 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Dong Jun
10%
Wang Yi
7%
Zhang Shengmin
5%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Wang Huning
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Li Qiang
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Li Xi
1%
$157,138 Vol.
Dong Jun
$31,399 Vol.
10%
Wang Yi
$11,744 Vol.
7%
Zhang Shengmin
$19,809 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$13,496 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$10,085 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$6,881 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$5,513 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$33,828 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$24,382 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign continues to drive leadership turnover across the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, with more than 100 senior military officers removed since 2022 and over one million disciplinary cases filed in 2025 alone. Recent developments include the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following the October 2025 expulsion of nine other top generals, while April 2026 saw former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui placed under scrutiny. Analysts link these actions to Xi’s emphasis on absolute political loyalty and the removal of entrenched networks ahead of the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, where he is expected to pursue a fourth term and install a new cohort of officials. The pattern of purges, which has hollowed out much of the CMC, reflects institutional efforts to enforce discipline and reshape elite alignments before the next major leadership transition cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$157,138Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign continues to drive leadership turnover across the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, with more than 100 senior military officers removed since 2022 and over one million disciplinary cases filed in 2025 alone. Recent developments include the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following the October 2025 expulsion of nine other top generals, while April 2026 saw former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui placed under scrutiny. Analysts link these actions to Xi’s emphasis on absolute political loyalty and the removal of entrenched networks ahead of the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, where he is expected to pursue a fourth term and install a new cohort of officials. The pattern of purges, which has hollowed out much of the CMC, reflects institutional efforts to enforce discipline and reshape elite alignments before the next major leadership transition cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$157,138Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained anti-corruption campaign continues to drive leadership turnover across the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, with more than 100 senior military officers removed since 2022 and over one million disciplinary cases filed in 2025 alone. Recent developments include the January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, following the October 2025 expulsion of nine other top generals, while April 2026 saw former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui placed under scrutiny. Analysts link these actions to Xi’s emphasis on absolute political loyalty and the removal of entrenched networks ahead of the 21st Party Congress in late 2027, where he is expected to pursue a fourth term and install a new cohort of officials. The pattern of purges, which has hollowed out much of the CMC, reflects institutional efforts to enforce discipline and reshape elite alignments before the next major leadership transition cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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