Traders heavily favor the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity from August 15-17 because his recent weekend posting pace aligns closely with that bracket, reflecting steady engagement on X around Tesla updates, Grok advancements, and AI discussions without a surge or slowdown. Recent posts show consistent replies and media shares tied to industry topics, consistent with historical patterns where daily volume typically lands in the mid-teens rather than extremes. The low probabilities on higher brackets underscore the market’s view that major catalysts like product launches or controversies have not materialized to drive spikes, while the modest <40 share accounts for possible quieter Sunday activity. Upcoming chart updates or any late-week announcements could still shift momentum before the period closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 74%
<40 19%
65-89 9%
90-114 <1%
$207,803 Vol.
$207,803 Vol.
17 ago 2026
<40
19%
40-64
74%
65-89
9%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 74%
<40 19%
65-89 9%
90-114 <1%
$207,803 Vol.
$207,803 Vol.
17 ago 2026
<40
$38,218 Vol.
19%
40-64
$22,804 Vol.
74%
65-89
$28,227 Vol.
9%
90-114
$38,355 Vol.
1%
115-139
$44,217 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$16,923 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,347 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,264 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,806 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders heavily favor the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity from August 15-17 because his recent weekend posting pace aligns closely with that bracket, reflecting steady engagement on X around Tesla updates, Grok advancements, and AI discussions without a surge or slowdown. Recent posts show consistent replies and media shares tied to industry topics, consistent with historical patterns where daily volume typically lands in the mid-teens rather than extremes. The low probabilities on higher brackets underscore the market’s view that major catalysts like product launches or controversies have not materialized to drive spikes, while the modest <40 share accounts for possible quieter Sunday activity. Upcoming chart updates or any late-week announcements could still shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$207,803Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders heavily favor the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity from August 15-17 because his recent weekend posting pace aligns closely with that bracket, reflecting steady engagement on X around Tesla updates, Grok advancements, and AI discussions without a surge or slowdown. Recent posts show consistent replies and media shares tied to industry topics, consistent with historical patterns where daily volume typically lands in the mid-teens rather than extremes. The low probabilities on higher brackets underscore the market’s view that major catalysts like product launches or controversies have not materialized to drive spikes, while the modest <40 share accounts for possible quieter Sunday activity. Upcoming chart updates or any late-week announcements could still shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$207,803Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk’s activity from August 15-17 because his recent weekend posting pace aligns closely with that bracket, reflecting steady engagement on X around Tesla updates, Grok advancements, and AI discussions without a surge or slowdown. Recent posts show consistent replies and media shares tied to industry topics, consistent with historical patterns where daily volume typically lands in the mid-teens rather than extremes. The low probabilities on higher brackets underscore the market’s view that major catalysts like product launches or controversies have not materialized to drive spikes, while the modest <40 share accounts for possible quieter Sunday activity. Upcoming chart updates or any late-week announcements could still shift momentum before the period closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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