Callum Turner leads the market at 36% implied probability due to sustained industry speculation and his positioning as the current bookies' frontrunner amid the official start of casting for the next Bond film. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in May 2026 that auditions are underway with veteran casting director Nina Gold, who has emphasized the need for an actor with sex appeal and franchise longevity under director Denis Villeneuve. Turner, a British performer known for roles in Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts, has fielded direct questions about the rumors at recent events like the Berlin Film Festival without confirming or denying interest. Other contenders such as Jacob Elordi and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail with lower odds, reflecting wider but less consolidated buzz around their suitability and availability for the multi-picture commitment. No casting decision is expected imminently, leaving room for shifts as the process advances.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNext James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 34%
Jacob Elordi 9%
Jack Lowdon 7.2%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 7.2%
Callum Turner
36%
Jacob Elordi
9%
Jack Lowdon
7%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
7%
Josh O'Connor
7%
Tom Holland
6%
No Bond chosen
6%
Robert James-Collier
6%
James Norton
5%
Henry Cavill
5%
Harris Dickinson
4%
Theo James
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Pierce Brosnan
1%
Callum Turner 34%
Jacob Elordi 9%
Jack Lowdon 7.2%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 7.2%
Callum Turner
36%
Jacob Elordi
9%
Jack Lowdon
7%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
7%
Josh O'Connor
7%
Tom Holland
6%
No Bond chosen
6%
Robert James-Collier
6%
James Norton
5%
Henry Cavill
5%
Harris Dickinson
4%
Theo James
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Pierce Brosnan
1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Callum Turner leads the market at 36% implied probability due to sustained industry speculation and his positioning as the current bookies' frontrunner amid the official start of casting for the next Bond film. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in May 2026 that auditions are underway with veteran casting director Nina Gold, who has emphasized the need for an actor with sex appeal and franchise longevity under director Denis Villeneuve. Turner, a British performer known for roles in Masters of the Air and Fantastic Beasts, has fielded direct questions about the rumors at recent events like the Berlin Film Festival without confirming or denying interest. Other contenders such as Jacob Elordi and Aaron Taylor-Johnson trail with lower odds, reflecting wider but less consolidated buzz around their suitability and availability for the multi-picture commitment. No casting decision is expected imminently, leaving room for shifts as the process advances.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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