Elon Musk’s established posting cadence of roughly 25–35 posts per day on X continues to anchor trader expectations for October 2026, producing the observed clustering around the 800–959 brackets and the narrow lead for the 1000+ outcome at 22.5% implied probability. Recent September data reveal ongoing variability, with some three-day windows settling in the 40–64 range and others near 180–199, preventing heavier concentration on any single monthly bracket. Steady activity tied to Tesla updates, X platform commentary, and occasional policy topics has sustained this baseline without the sustained spikes seen in prior high-engagement periods. With October featuring potential product news and platform developments, the market reflects trader focus on whether his rhythm holds near recent averages or shifts due to external catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1000+ 23%
800-839 14%
840-879 14%
880-919 14%
$84,756 Vol.
$84,756 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
3%
780-799
7%
800-839
14%
840-879
14%
880-919
14%
920-959
14%
960-999
13%
1000+
23%
1000+ 23%
800-839 14%
840-879 14%
880-919 14%
$84,756 Vol.
$84,756 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
3%
780-799
7%
800-839
14%
840-879
14%
880-919
14%
920-959
14%
960-999
13%
1000+
23%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established posting cadence of roughly 25–35 posts per day on X continues to anchor trader expectations for October 2026, producing the observed clustering around the 800–959 brackets and the narrow lead for the 1000+ outcome at 22.5% implied probability. Recent September data reveal ongoing variability, with some three-day windows settling in the 40–64 range and others near 180–199, preventing heavier concentration on any single monthly bracket. Steady activity tied to Tesla updates, X platform commentary, and occasional policy topics has sustained this baseline without the sustained spikes seen in prior high-engagement periods. With October featuring potential product news and platform developments, the market reflects trader focus on whether his rhythm holds near recent averages or shifts due to external catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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