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icon for Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme

Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme

icon for Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme

Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme

A Odisséia 53%

La Bola Negra 18%

Duna: Parte Três 14%

Wild Horse Nine 7%

Polymarket

$200,845 Vol.

A Odisséia 53%

La Bola Negra 18%

Duna: Parte Três 14%

Wild Horse Nine 7%

Polymarket

$200,845 Vol.

A Odisséia

$125,058 Vol.

53%

La Bola Negra

$4,918 Vol.

18%

Duna: Parte Três

$18,308 Vol.

14%

Wild Horse Nine

$7,841 Vol.

7%

Digger

$8,554 Vol.

6%

Projeto Hail Mary

$4,366 Vol.

4%

Fjord

$4,579 Vol.

3%

The Debut

$5,080 Vol.

3%

Behemoth!

$3,774 Vol.

2%

O Convite

$1,329 Vol.

1%

O Drama

$1,254 Vol.

<1%

As Aventuras de Cliff Booth

$1,218 Vol.

<1%

Tony

$3,378 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$1,193 Vol.

<1%

O Dia da Revelação

$1,244 Vol.

<1%

Fatherland

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

All of a Sudden

$1,198 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$1,346 Vol.

<1%

Vingadores: Juízo Final

$1,349 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$1,184 Vol.

<1%

Saturn Return

$1,199 Vol.

<1%

Josephine

$1,295 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey's strong July theatrical release, critical acclaim, and box office performance have positioned it as the clear early frontrunner in the 2027 Best Picture market, reflecting trader emphasis on its scale, Nolan's post-Oppenheimer momentum, and proven awards appeal for epic spectacles. With most other contenders clustered near even odds or lower, the race remains fluid this far out, as many titles have yet to screen widely or complete festival runs that typically shape guild and Academy sentiment. Upcoming catalysts include Dune: Part Three's December debut and potential Toronto or Telluride reactions for films like Wild Horse Nine and Project Hail Mary, which could shift implied probabilities based on reviews, audience response, and early precursor signals.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,845
Data de Término
14 mar 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey's strong July theatrical release, critical acclaim, and box office performance have positioned it as the clear early frontrunner in the 2027 Best Picture market, reflecting trader emphasis on its scale, Nolan's post-Oppenheimer momentum, and proven awards appeal for epic spectacles. With most other contenders clustered near even odds or lower, the race remains fluid this far out, as many titles have yet to screen widely or complete festival runs that typically shape guild and Academy sentiment. Upcoming catalysts include Dune: Part Three's December debut and potential Toronto or Telluride reactions for films like Wild Horse Nine and Project Hail Mary, which could shift implied probabilities based on reviews, audience response, and early precursor signals.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,845
Data de Término
14 mar 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Odisséia" at 53%, followed by "La Bola Negra" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme" has generated $200.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme" is "A Odisséia" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "La Bola Negra" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.