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icon for Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme

Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme

icon for Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme

Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme

A Odisséia 51%

Duna: Parte Três 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

Wild Horse Nine 8%

Polymarket

$169,028 Vol.

A Odisséia 51%

Duna: Parte Três 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

Wild Horse Nine 8%

Polymarket

$169,028 Vol.

A Odisséia

$117,202 Vol.

51%

Duna: Parte Três

$14,379 Vol.

16%

La Bola Negra

$2,059 Vol.

12%

Wild Horse Nine

$6,454 Vol.

8%

The Debut

$4,335 Vol.

6%

Fjord

$3,726 Vol.

6%

Digger

$5,707 Vol.

5%

Projeto Hail Mary

$2,408 Vol.

2%

O Convite

$590 Vol.

1%

O Dia da Revelação

$624 Vol.

<1%

As Aventuras de Cliff Booth

$597 Vol.

<1%

Tony

$2,757 Vol.

<1%

Vingadores: Juízo Final

$729 Vol.

<1%

O Drama

$564 Vol.

<1%

Behemoth!

$2,644 Vol.

<1%

The Social Reckoning

$572 Vol.

<1%

Fatherland

$559 Vol.

<1%

All of a Sudden

$578 Vol.

<1%

Michael

$726 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$564 Vol.

<1%

Josephine

$675 Vol.

<1%

Saturn Return

$579 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 awards season still in its early stages and the Oscars 2027 more than a year away, trader sentiment for Best Picture reflects a wide-open field where no film has pulled ahead decisively. The Odyssey sits at a narrow 50.5% implied probability, virtually tied with a broad group of contenders clustered around 50%, while Dune: Part Three trails at 15.5% and other titles like La Bola Negra and Wild Horse Nine sit lower. This distribution stems from limited production updates, untested critical reception, and the absence of major precursor signals such as guild nominations or festival buzz. Historical patterns show that frontrunners often shift rapidly once films screen and box-office or streaming metrics emerge, leaving room for late momentum from directors with strong academy track records or breakout audience scores.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$169,028
Data de Término
14 mar 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026 awards season still in its early stages and the Oscars 2027 more than a year away, trader sentiment for Best Picture reflects a wide-open field where no film has pulled ahead decisively. The Odyssey sits at a narrow 50.5% implied probability, virtually tied with a broad group of contenders clustered around 50%, while Dune: Part Three trails at 15.5% and other titles like La Bola Negra and Wild Horse Nine sit lower. This distribution stems from limited production updates, untested critical reception, and the absence of major precursor signals such as guild nominations or festival buzz. Historical patterns show that frontrunners often shift rapidly once films screen and box-office or streaming metrics emerge, leaving room for late momentum from directors with strong academy track records or breakout audience scores.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$169,028
Data de Término
14 mar 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Odisséia" at 51%, followed by "Duna: Parte Três" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme" has generated $169K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme" is "A Odisséia" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duna: Parte Três" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Filme" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.