The market for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor reflects a wide-open race with no dominant frontrunner, as traders assign comparable implied probabilities across multiple contenders including John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Andrew Scott. Early positioning hinges on 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and initial critical reception rather than established momentum. Historical voting patterns show that guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and precursors often consolidate support later in the cycle, while box office performance and industry narrative can elevate dark horses. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts and early awards buzz will likely sharpen the field before voting begins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator
Oscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator
John Malkovich 31.7%
Matt Damon 27%
Andrew Scott 18%
Tom Cruise 14%
$117,480 Vol.
$117,480 Vol.
14 mar 2027
John Malkovich
32%
Matt Damon
27%
Andrew Scott
18%
Tom Cruise
14%
Robert Pattinson
9%
Jeremy Strong
3%
Sebastian Stan
2%
Ryan Gosling
2%
Timothée Chalamet
1%
Jaafar Jackson
1%
Sam Rockwell
1%
Pedro Pascal
<1%
Javier Bardem
<1%
Adam Driver
<1%
Brad Pitt
<1%
Robert Aramayo
<1%
John Turturro
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
John Malkovich 31.7%
Matt Damon 27%
Andrew Scott 18%
Tom Cruise 14%
$117,480 Vol.
$117,480 Vol.
14 mar 2027
John Malkovich
$8,856 Vol.
32%
Matt Damon
$34,097 Vol.
27%
Andrew Scott
$12,225 Vol.
18%
Tom Cruise
$11,178 Vol.
14%
Robert Pattinson
$4,364 Vol.
9%
Jeremy Strong
$4,039 Vol.
3%
Sebastian Stan
$2,765 Vol.
2%
Ryan Gosling
$4,778 Vol.
2%
Timothée Chalamet
$3,693 Vol.
1%
Jaafar Jackson
$4,211 Vol.
1%
Sam Rockwell
$4,572 Vol.
1%
Pedro Pascal
$3,076 Vol.
<1%
Javier Bardem
$2,900 Vol.
<1%
Adam Driver
$2,373 Vol.
<1%
Brad Pitt
$8,112 Vol.
<1%
Robert Aramayo
$3,115 Vol.
<1%
John Turturro
$1,587 Vol.
<1%
Josh O'Connor
$1,537 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor reflects a wide-open race with no dominant frontrunner, as traders assign comparable implied probabilities across multiple contenders including John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Andrew Scott. Early positioning hinges on 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and initial critical reception rather than established momentum. Historical voting patterns show that guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and precursors often consolidate support later in the cycle, while box office performance and industry narrative can elevate dark horses. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts and early awards buzz will likely sharpen the field before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Volume
$117,480Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The market for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor reflects a wide-open race with no dominant frontrunner, as traders assign comparable implied probabilities across multiple contenders including John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Andrew Scott. Early positioning hinges on 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and initial critical reception rather than established momentum. Historical voting patterns show that guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and precursors often consolidate support later in the cycle, while box office performance and industry narrative can elevate dark horses. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts and early awards buzz will likely sharpen the field before voting begins.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$117,480Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market for the 2027 Oscars Best Actor reflects a wide-open race with no dominant frontrunner, as traders assign comparable implied probabilities across multiple contenders including John Malkovich, Matt Damon, and Andrew Scott. Early positioning hinges on 2026 film releases, festival premieres, and initial critical reception rather than established momentum. Historical voting patterns show that guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and precursors often consolidate support later in the cycle, while box office performance and industry narrative can elevate dark horses. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts and early awards buzz will likely sharpen the field before voting begins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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