The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s dominant 75% implied probability stems from its May 2026 series finale after cancellation, creating a strong emotional narrative and victory-lap momentum following its 2025 talk series win. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category—combining prior talk and scripted variety races—has positioned the CBS program against Last Week Tonight, The Daily Show, SNL, and Jimmy Kimmel Live, all of which earned nominations in the July announcement. As an area award, voters assess each nominee on individual merit with a potential 90% yes threshold for wins, but trader consensus highlights Colbert’s recent season, historical precedent for farewell seasons, and timing ahead of the September 14 ceremony as decisive factors over the others’ established records.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEmmys 2026: Série de variedades excepcional
Emmys 2026: Série de variedades excepcional
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 76%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.5%
"Saturday Night Live" 4.1%
“The Daily Show” 3.6%
$88,738 Vol.
$88,738 Vol.
14 set 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
76%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
5%
"Saturday Night Live"
4%
“The Daily Show”
4%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
3%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 76%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 5.5%
"Saturday Night Live" 4.1%
“The Daily Show” 3.6%
$88,738 Vol.
$88,738 Vol.
14 set 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$30,480 Vol.
76%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$16,719 Vol.
5%
"Saturday Night Live"
$10,041 Vol.
4%
“The Daily Show”
$10,279 Vol.
4%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
$21,218 Vol.
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s dominant 75% implied probability stems from its May 2026 series finale after cancellation, creating a strong emotional narrative and victory-lap momentum following its 2025 talk series win. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category—combining prior talk and scripted variety races—has positioned the CBS program against Last Week Tonight, The Daily Show, SNL, and Jimmy Kimmel Live, all of which earned nominations in the July announcement. As an area award, voters assess each nominee on individual merit with a potential 90% yes threshold for wins, but trader consensus highlights Colbert’s recent season, historical precedent for farewell seasons, and timing ahead of the September 14 ceremony as decisive factors over the others’ established records.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Volume
$88,738Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s dominant 75% implied probability stems from its May 2026 series finale after cancellation, creating a strong emotional narrative and victory-lap momentum following its 2025 talk series win. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category—combining prior talk and scripted variety races—has positioned the CBS program against Last Week Tonight, The Daily Show, SNL, and Jimmy Kimmel Live, all of which earned nominations in the July announcement. As an area award, voters assess each nominee on individual merit with a potential 90% yes threshold for wins, but trader consensus highlights Colbert’s recent season, historical precedent for farewell seasons, and timing ahead of the September 14 ceremony as decisive factors over the others’ established records.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$88,738Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s dominant 75% implied probability stems from its May 2026 series finale after cancellation, creating a strong emotional narrative and victory-lap momentum following its 2025 talk series win. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category—combining prior talk and scripted variety races—has positioned the CBS program against Last Week Tonight, The Daily Show, SNL, and Jimmy Kimmel Live, all of which earned nominations in the July announcement. As an area award, voters assess each nominee on individual merit with a potential 90% yes threshold for wins, but trader consensus highlights Colbert’s recent season, historical precedent for farewell seasons, and timing ahead of the September 14 ceremony as decisive factors over the others’ established records.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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