Jean Smart’s commanding 91% market-implied odds reflect her four prior wins in the category for *Hacks*, the show’s final season earning a record 24 Emmy nominations, and consistent critical and guild recognition that has made her the clear frontrunner. Academy voters have repeatedly rewarded her portrayal of Deborah Vance across every eligible season, positioning a fifth victory as both a series capstone and a potential record-tying performance. While Lisa Kudrow’s *The Comeback* revival and the other nominees offer alternatives, a realistic upset would require significant voter fatigue with *Hacks* or a late surge in precursor momentum for another contender before the September 14 ceremony.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEmmys 2026: Melhor atriz principal numa série de comédia
Emmys 2026: Melhor atriz principal numa série de comédia
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 6.2%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 1.9%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.8%
$34,590 Vol.
$34,590 Vol.
14 set 2026
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
91%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
6%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
2%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 6.2%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 1.9%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 1.8%
$34,590 Vol.
$34,590 Vol.
14 set 2026
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
$23,900 Vol.
91%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
$2,775 Vol.
6%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
$2,394 Vol.
2%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$2,979 Vol.
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
$2,542 Vol.
2%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean Smart’s commanding 91% market-implied odds reflect her four prior wins in the category for *Hacks*, the show’s final season earning a record 24 Emmy nominations, and consistent critical and guild recognition that has made her the clear frontrunner. Academy voters have repeatedly rewarded her portrayal of Deborah Vance across every eligible season, positioning a fifth victory as both a series capstone and a potential record-tying performance. While Lisa Kudrow’s *The Comeback* revival and the other nominees offer alternatives, a realistic upset would require significant voter fatigue with *Hacks* or a late surge in precursor momentum for another contender before the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$34,590Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean Smart’s commanding 91% market-implied odds reflect her four prior wins in the category for *Hacks*, the show’s final season earning a record 24 Emmy nominations, and consistent critical and guild recognition that has made her the clear frontrunner. Academy voters have repeatedly rewarded her portrayal of Deborah Vance across every eligible season, positioning a fifth victory as both a series capstone and a potential record-tying performance. While Lisa Kudrow’s *The Comeback* revival and the other nominees offer alternatives, a realistic upset would require significant voter fatigue with *Hacks* or a late surge in precursor momentum for another contender before the September 14 ceremony.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,590Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart’s commanding 91% market-implied odds reflect her four prior wins in the category for *Hacks*, the show’s final season earning a record 24 Emmy nominations, and consistent critical and guild recognition that has made her the clear frontrunner. Academy voters have repeatedly rewarded her portrayal of Deborah Vance across every eligible season, positioning a fifth victory as both a series capstone and a potential record-tying performance. While Lisa Kudrow’s *The Comeback* revival and the other nominees offer alternatives, a realistic upset would require significant voter fatigue with *Hacks* or a late surge in precursor momentum for another contender before the September 14 ceremony.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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