Jean Smart's commanding 91% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive wins playing Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, now in its final season with a record 24 Emmy nominations. Industry consensus highlights her consistent critical acclaim, strong guild and precursor support, and the emotional weight of concluding the show's run, aligning with historical Emmy patterns favoring established frontrunners in final seasons. Lisa Kudrow's return in *The Comeback* and other nominees like Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri, and Quinta Brunson trail due to lower nomination volume and less dominant momentum. An upset would require a rare voter backlash against Smart's streak or a late surge for Kudrow's legacy appeal ahead of the September 14 ceremony, though current trader consensus views such shifts as unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEmmys 2026: Melhor atriz principal numa série de comédia
Emmys 2026: Melhor atriz principal numa série de comédia
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.7%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 2.4%
$29,513 Vol.
$29,513 Vol.
14 set 2026
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
91%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
1%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.7%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 2.4%
$29,513 Vol.
$29,513 Vol.
14 set 2026
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
$20,176 Vol.
91%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
$2,407 Vol.
5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
$2,723 Vol.
4%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
$2,103 Vol.
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
$2,103 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean Smart's commanding 91% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive wins playing Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, now in its final season with a record 24 Emmy nominations. Industry consensus highlights her consistent critical acclaim, strong guild and precursor support, and the emotional weight of concluding the show's run, aligning with historical Emmy patterns favoring established frontrunners in final seasons. Lisa Kudrow's return in *The Comeback* and other nominees like Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri, and Quinta Brunson trail due to lower nomination volume and less dominant momentum. An upset would require a rare voter backlash against Smart's streak or a late surge for Kudrow's legacy appeal ahead of the September 14 ceremony, though current trader consensus views such shifts as unlikely.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$29,513Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jean Smart's commanding 91% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive wins playing Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, now in its final season with a record 24 Emmy nominations. Industry consensus highlights her consistent critical acclaim, strong guild and precursor support, and the emotional weight of concluding the show's run, aligning with historical Emmy patterns favoring established frontrunners in final seasons. Lisa Kudrow's return in *The Comeback* and other nominees like Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri, and Quinta Brunson trail due to lower nomination volume and less dominant momentum. An upset would require a rare voter backlash against Smart's streak or a late surge for Kudrow's legacy appeal ahead of the September 14 ceremony, though current trader consensus views such shifts as unlikely.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,513Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart's commanding 91% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive wins playing Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, now in its final season with a record 24 Emmy nominations. Industry consensus highlights her consistent critical acclaim, strong guild and precursor support, and the emotional weight of concluding the show's run, aligning with historical Emmy patterns favoring established frontrunners in final seasons. Lisa Kudrow's return in *The Comeback* and other nominees like Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri, and Quinta Brunson trail due to lower nomination volume and less dominant momentum. An upset would require a rare voter backlash against Smart's streak or a late surge for Kudrow's legacy appeal ahead of the September 14 ceremony, though current trader consensus views such shifts as unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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