The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny leads the market at 82.5% implied probability due to its record viewership, high-production spectacle, and strong critical reception as a live variety event. This positions it well ahead of other major ceremonies, whose 2026 editions have generated comparatively muted industry buzz and fewer standout moments for voters. Historical Emmy patterns favor Super Bowl productions in this category when they deliver broad cultural resonance and technical excellence. Upcoming guild and critics' discussions ahead of the September ceremony could reinforce or shift momentum, though the halftime show's early frontrunner status remains firmly established among traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEmmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)
Emmys 2026: Especial de variedade excepcional (ao vivo)
O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny 82.5%
Os Oscars 11.2%
Golden Globes 4.0%
Os Tonys 3.5%
$52,133 Vol.
$52,133 Vol.
14 set 2026
O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny
83%
Os Oscars
11%
Golden Globes
4%
Os Tonys
4%
Os Grammys
3%
O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny 82.5%
Os Oscars 11.2%
Golden Globes 4.0%
Os Tonys 3.5%
$52,133 Vol.
$52,133 Vol.
14 set 2026
O Show do Intervalo do Super Bowl LX estrelado por Bad Bunny
$42,387 Vol.
83%
Os Oscars
$5,701 Vol.
11%
Golden Globes
$1,304 Vol.
4%
Os Tonys
$1,701 Vol.
4%
Os Grammys
$1,041 Vol.
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny leads the market at 82.5% implied probability due to its record viewership, high-production spectacle, and strong critical reception as a live variety event. This positions it well ahead of other major ceremonies, whose 2026 editions have generated comparatively muted industry buzz and fewer standout moments for voters. Historical Emmy patterns favor Super Bowl productions in this category when they deliver broad cultural resonance and technical excellence. Upcoming guild and critics' discussions ahead of the September ceremony could reinforce or shift momentum, though the halftime show's early frontrunner status remains firmly established among traders.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ET
Volume
$52,133Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny leads the market at 82.5% implied probability due to its record viewership, high-production spectacle, and strong critical reception as a live variety event. This positions it well ahead of other major ceremonies, whose 2026 editions have generated comparatively muted industry buzz and fewer standout moments for voters. Historical Emmy patterns favor Super Bowl productions in this category when they deliver broad cultural resonance and technical excellence. Upcoming guild and critics' discussions ahead of the September ceremony could reinforce or shift momentum, though the halftime show's early frontrunner status remains firmly established among traders.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$52,133Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny leads the market at 82.5% implied probability due to its record viewership, high-production spectacle, and strong critical reception as a live variety event. This positions it well ahead of other major ceremonies, whose 2026 editions have generated comparatively muted industry buzz and fewer standout moments for voters. Historical Emmy patterns favor Super Bowl productions in this category when they deliver broad cultural resonance and technical excellence. Upcoming guild and critics' discussions ahead of the September ceremony could reinforce or shift momentum, though the halftime show's early frontrunner status remains firmly established among traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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