Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year market at 60.5% implied probability thanks to its massive cultural anticipation and scheduled May 26 release, which positions it as the presumptive frontrunner if it meets eligibility just days before the December 10 cutoff. Rockstar's track record with open-world spectacles fuels trader consensus, though tight timing leaves room for delays that could sideline it, echoing past upsets like God of War over Red Dead Redemption 2. Lower-odds contenders such as Resident Evil Requiem (12%), 007 First Light, Marvel's Wolverine, and Control Resonant trail due to comparatively modest buzz and later or less certain 2026 launches. Recent tracking and precursor discussions highlight GTA VI's edge, with guild and critic signals expected to clarify momentum ahead of the ceremony.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoThe Game Awards: Jogo do Ano
The Game Awards: Jogo do Ano
Grand Theft Auto VI 61%
Resident Evil Requiem 12%
007 First Light 4.9%
Phantom Blade Zero 4.8%
$17,143 Vol.
$17,143 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
61%
Resident Evil Requiem
12%
007 First Light
5%
Phantom Blade Zero
5%
Marvel's Wolverine
4%
Nioh 3
4%
Control Resonant
4%
Fable
4%
Stranger Than Heaven
4%
Saros
3%
The Duskbloods
3%
Crimson Desert
3%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
3%
Pragmata
3%
Esoteric Ebb
3%
Gears of War: E-Day
2%
Exodus
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Marathon
1%
Cairn
1%
Forza Horizon 6
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
Grand Theft Auto VI 61%
Resident Evil Requiem 12%
007 First Light 4.9%
Phantom Blade Zero 4.8%
$17,143 Vol.
$17,143 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
61%
Resident Evil Requiem
12%
007 First Light
5%
Phantom Blade Zero
5%
Marvel's Wolverine
4%
Nioh 3
4%
Control Resonant
4%
Fable
4%
Stranger Than Heaven
4%
Saros
3%
The Duskbloods
3%
Crimson Desert
3%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
3%
Pragmata
3%
Esoteric Ebb
3%
Gears of War: E-Day
2%
Exodus
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Marathon
1%
Cairn
1%
Forza Horizon 6
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards 2026 Game of the Year market at 60.5% implied probability thanks to its massive cultural anticipation and scheduled May 26 release, which positions it as the presumptive frontrunner if it meets eligibility just days before the December 10 cutoff. Rockstar's track record with open-world spectacles fuels trader consensus, though tight timing leaves room for delays that could sideline it, echoing past upsets like God of War over Red Dead Redemption 2. Lower-odds contenders such as Resident Evil Requiem (12%), 007 First Light, Marvel's Wolverine, and Control Resonant trail due to comparatively modest buzz and later or less certain 2026 launches. Recent tracking and precursor discussions highlight GTA VI's edge, with guild and critic signals expected to clarify momentum ahead of the ceremony.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions