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Desporto·Novato

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Desporto·Novato

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 38%

Munetaka Murakami 38%

Chase DeLauter 11%

Kazuma Okamoto 8.2%

Polymarket

$12,249 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle 38%

Munetaka Murakami 38%

Chase DeLauter 11%

Kazuma Okamoto 8.2%

Polymarket

$12,249 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle

$2,719 Vol.

38%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,319 Vol.

38%

Chase DeLauter

$681 Vol.

11%

Kazuma Okamoto

$785 Vol.

8%

Carlos Lagrange

$233 Vol.

1%

Samuel Basallo

$755 Vol.

1%

Spencer Jones

$259 Vol.

1%

Carter Jensen

$633 Vol.

1%

Leo De Vries

$266 Vol.

1%

Brice Matthews

$216 Vol.

1%

Connelly Early

$216 Vol.

1%

Walker Jenkins

$507 Vol.

1%

Carson Williams

$223 Vol.

1%

Travis Bazzana

$216 Vol.

1%

Trey Yesavage

$397 Vol.

1%

Max Clark

$263 Vol.

1%

Colt Emerson

$240 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Beavers

$650 Vol.

<1%

Payton Tolle

$298 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$374 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle and Munetaka Murakami remain locked in a tight contest for AL Rookie of the Year honors, each priced near 37 percent amid strong early-season performances that have kept the field bunched. McGonigle has posted elite on-base numbers and led rookies in hits and doubles through mid-May, benefiting from a prominent lineup spot and recent contract extension that signals long-term stability. Murakami counters with MLB-leading rookie home-run totals and top-tier slugging, driven by his power profile since arriving from Japan. Chase DeLauter and Kazuma Okamoto trail as the next tier, with consistent but less dominant production that has not shifted the trader consensus. Recent form in power versus contact metrics continues to anchor the market's balanced view of the race.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,249
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kevin McGonigle and Munetaka Murakami remain locked in a tight contest for AL Rookie of the Year honors, each priced near 37 percent amid strong early-season performances that have kept the field bunched. McGonigle has posted elite on-base numbers and led rookies in hits and doubles through mid-May, benefiting from a prominent lineup spot and recent contract extension that signals long-term stability. Murakami counters with MLB-leading rookie home-run totals and top-tier slugging, driven by his power profile since arriving from Japan. Chase DeLauter and Kazuma Okamoto trail as the next tier, with consistent but less dominant production that has not shifted the trader consensus. Recent form in power versus contact metrics continues to anchor the market's balanced view of the race.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,249
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin McGonigle" at 38%, followed by "Munetaka Murakami" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is "Kevin McGonigle" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Munetaka Murakami" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.