Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” anchors trader consensus at 67% implied probability, fueled by strong reviews from its Telluride and TIFF premieres in September 2026 that highlight her bold, scene-stealing work in the quirky theater comedy. Early industry narrative favors the A24 film’s awards trajectory, echoing historical patterns where veteran actors deliver career-highlight turns in actor-driven projects. Contenders including Inde Navarrette in “Obsession,” Renate Reinsve in “Fjord,” and Sandra Hüller in “Rose” or “Fatherland” sit lower amid less advanced campaigns and festival positioning, while later 2026 releases could still shift momentum. Key catalysts ahead include guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and PGA plus critics’ circles that typically shape Best Actress voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoÓscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz
Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz
Julianne Moore 67%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.1%
$137,304 Vol.
$137,304 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
67%
Inde Navarrette
13%
Renate Reinsve
9%
Sandra Hüller
7%
Virginie Efira
2%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Julianne Moore 67%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 9%
Sandra Hüller 7.1%
$137,304 Vol.
$137,304 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Julianne Moore
$90,453 Vol.
67%
Inde Navarrette
$28,199 Vol.
13%
Renate Reinsve
$12,599 Vol.
9%
Sandra Hüller
$3,466 Vol.
7%
Virginie Efira
$188 Vol.
2%
Ruth Madeley
$721 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$179 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$217 Vol.
1%
Michelle Williams
$265 Vol.
<1%
Sophie Okonedo
$160 Vol.
<1%
Léa Seydoux
$857 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” anchors trader consensus at 67% implied probability, fueled by strong reviews from its Telluride and TIFF premieres in September 2026 that highlight her bold, scene-stealing work in the quirky theater comedy. Early industry narrative favors the A24 film’s awards trajectory, echoing historical patterns where veteran actors deliver career-highlight turns in actor-driven projects. Contenders including Inde Navarrette in “Obsession,” Renate Reinsve in “Fjord,” and Sandra Hüller in “Rose” or “Fatherland” sit lower amid less advanced campaigns and festival positioning, while later 2026 releases could still shift momentum. Key catalysts ahead include guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and PGA plus critics’ circles that typically shape Best Actress voting.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$137,304Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” anchors trader consensus at 67% implied probability, fueled by strong reviews from its Telluride and TIFF premieres in September 2026 that highlight her bold, scene-stealing work in the quirky theater comedy. Early industry narrative favors the A24 film’s awards trajectory, echoing historical patterns where veteran actors deliver career-highlight turns in actor-driven projects. Contenders including Inde Navarrette in “Obsession,” Renate Reinsve in “Fjord,” and Sandra Hüller in “Rose” or “Fatherland” sit lower amid less advanced campaigns and festival positioning, while later 2026 releases could still shift momentum. Key catalysts ahead include guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and PGA plus critics’ circles that typically shape Best Actress voting.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,304Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore’s acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” anchors trader consensus at 67% implied probability, fueled by strong reviews from its Telluride and TIFF premieres in September 2026 that highlight her bold, scene-stealing work in the quirky theater comedy. Early industry narrative favors the A24 film’s awards trajectory, echoing historical patterns where veteran actors deliver career-highlight turns in actor-driven projects. Contenders including Inde Navarrette in “Obsession,” Renate Reinsve in “Fjord,” and Sandra Hüller in “Rose” or “Fatherland” sit lower amid less advanced campaigns and festival positioning, while later 2026 releases could still shift momentum. Key catalysts ahead include guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and PGA plus critics’ circles that typically shape Best Actress voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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