Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader sentiment with its commanding implied probability thanks to robust summer box office tracking, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and Sony’s reliable MCU-adjacent track record that routinely delivers billion-dollar worldwide totals. Its late-July release positions it to capitalize on peak audience availability before holiday competition intensifies, while early 2026 performers like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have already posted strong domestic numbers yet face steeper paths to year-long supremacy. Avengers: Doomsday sits second on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s Doctor Doom return and December timing, though its later slot and the MCU’s recent variability temper expectations for overtaking the frontrunner. Upcoming chart updates through Memorial Day and final summer tracking reports remain the key swing factors that could shift these market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFilme de maior bilheteria em 2026?
Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia 59%
Vingadores: Juízo Final 18%
Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme 9.4%
Toy Story 5 3.6%
$7,152,394 Vol.
$7,152,394 Vol.
Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia
59%
Vingadores: Juízo Final
18%
Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme
9%
Toy Story 5
4%
A Odisséia
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Duna: Messias
1%
Michael
1%
Wicked: For Good
1%
O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Scream 7
<1%
Jogos Vorazes: O Alvorecer da Colheita
<1%
Projeto Hail Mary
<1%
Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia 59%
Vingadores: Juízo Final 18%
Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme 9.4%
Toy Story 5 3.6%
$7,152,394 Vol.
$7,152,394 Vol.
Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia
59%
Vingadores: Juízo Final
18%
Super Mario Galaxy: O Filme
9%
Toy Story 5
4%
A Odisséia
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Duna: Messias
1%
Michael
1%
Wicked: For Good
1%
O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes
1%
Jumanji 3
1%
Scream 7
<1%
Jogos Vorazes: O Alvorecer da Colheita
<1%
Projeto Hail Mary
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads trader sentiment with its commanding implied probability thanks to robust summer box office tracking, Tom Holland’s proven draw, and Sony’s reliable MCU-adjacent track record that routinely delivers billion-dollar worldwide totals. Its late-July release positions it to capitalize on peak audience availability before holiday competition intensifies, while early 2026 performers like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have already posted strong domestic numbers yet face steeper paths to year-long supremacy. Avengers: Doomsday sits second on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s Doctor Doom return and December timing, though its later slot and the MCU’s recent variability temper expectations for overtaking the frontrunner. Upcoming chart updates through Memorial Day and final summer tracking reports remain the key swing factors that could shift these market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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