Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges as the clearest expressions of Elon Musk’s baseline weekly activity on X, with those bins commanding the highest implied probabilities amid a tight cluster of outcomes. Recent similar markets for late July and early August periods have settled in comparable territory, reflecting his pattern of frequent updates on SpaceX launches, Starlink expansion, Grok iterations, and Tesla milestones, offset by occasional moderation tied to operational demands or public commentary fatigue. No major announcements or controversies are currently locked in for August 11-18 that would push volume dramatically higher or lower, leaving the distribution anchored to historical cadence while allowing room for short bursts of engagement typical of his feed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
$85,744 Vol.
$85,744 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 18%
220-239 15%
160-179 14%
$85,744 Vol.
$85,744 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
8%
160-179
14%
180-199
19%
200-219
18%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 ranges as the clearest expressions of Elon Musk’s baseline weekly activity on X, with those bins commanding the highest implied probabilities amid a tight cluster of outcomes. Recent similar markets for late July and early August periods have settled in comparable territory, reflecting his pattern of frequent updates on SpaceX launches, Starlink expansion, Grok iterations, and Tesla milestones, offset by occasional moderation tied to operational demands or public commentary fatigue. No major announcements or controversies are currently locked in for August 11-18 that would push volume dramatically higher or lower, leaving the distribution anchored to historical cadence while allowing room for short bursts of engagement typical of his feed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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