Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” the lead single from the Toy Story 5 soundtrack, holds overwhelming market-implied odds for the No. 2 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 dated August 22 because of its sustained streaming dominance and radio traction since the June 5 release. The track’s record-breaking first-day numbers across platforms, combined with its crossover country-pop appeal and Pixar marketing boost, have kept it charting near the top for weeks despite typical post-debut decay. Traders see limited immediate competition capable of overtaking its position before the tracking week closes. An upset would require an unusually strong debut or viral surge from one of the lower-odds contenders, such as a major new release from Ella Langley or Morgan Wallen, or a sudden streaming spike that realigns the final tallies.