Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoElon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
240-259 20%
200-219 17%
180-199 15%
220-239 15%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
11%
100-119
5%
120-139
5%
140-159
5%
160-179
8%
180-199
15%
200-219
17%
220-239
15%
240-259
20%
260-279
12%
280-299
11%
300-319
11%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
2%
380-399
11%
400-419
12%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
240-259 20%
200-219 17%
180-199 15%
220-239 15%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
<20
$1,675 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$1,645 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,645 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$826 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$10 Vol.
11%
100-119
$35 Vol.
5%
120-139
$25 Vol.
5%
140-159
$15 Vol.
5%
160-179
$15 Vol.
8%
180-199
$1,213 Vol.
15%
200-219
$15 Vol.
17%
220-239
$15 Vol.
15%
240-259
$54 Vol.
20%
260-279
$15 Vol.
12%
280-299
$15 Vol.
11%
300-319
$82 Vol.
11%
320-339
$428 Vol.
3%
340-359
$586 Vol.
2%
360-379
$115 Vol.
2%
380-399
$10 Vol.
11%
400-419
$10 Vol.
12%
420-439
$177 Vol.
1%
440-459
$25 Vol.
1%
460-479
$25 Vol.
1%
480-499
$125 Vol.
1%
500+
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$8,826Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 4 12:00 PM ET to August 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$8,826Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established pattern of high-volume posting on X drives the tight clustering of probabilities across the 180–279 tweet ranges for the August 4–11 window. Traders price in his baseline output of roughly 25–35 posts daily, shaped by ongoing Tesla and xAI developments, occasional political commentary, and real-time reactions to news, while noting that summer lulls or focused work periods can suppress volume. The spread among leading bins reflects uncertainty over whether any late-breaking business or cultural moments will spike activity, with no major scheduled catalysts currently anchoring expectations. Historical weekly totals near 200 tweets support the market’s even distribution rather than a single dominant outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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