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Notas previsões e probabilidades

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Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?

<1%

$39.4K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

2

Ends em 18 dias

Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?

65%

$26 Vol.

$836 Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

57%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$52.6K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Antioquia

98%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$2.3K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

99%

70-75%

$15.7K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

98%

<10%

$14.7K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

5

Ends há 12 dias

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

99%

40-45%

$29.9K Vol.

$54.2K Liq.

3

Ends há 12 dias

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

Abelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

99%

40-45%

$13.4K Vol.

$55.4K Liq.

2

Ends há 12 dias

Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?

Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?

98%

Lateefah Simon

$704 Vol.

$67 Liq.

Ends há 10 dias

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

44%

130m+

$7.4K Vol.

$52.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

43%

December 31, 2027

$498K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

31

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

22%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$968 Liq.

10

FC Lahti vs. Seinajoen JK

FC Lahti vs. Seinajoen JK

32%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 12?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 12?

99%

$715

$1.1K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

31%

↑ $3

$692K Vol.

$37.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

44%

↓ 60

$986K Vol.

$464K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Prestige

$42.3K Vol.

Ends há 13 dias

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Trump on $250 bill this year?

9%

$13.6K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

38%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.6K Vol.

$652 Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Notas.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Notas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 38% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Notas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.