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Engagement previsões e probabilidades

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Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

<1%

$1M Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

11

Ends em 2 dias

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

41%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$390K Liq.

119

Ends em 6 meses

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

5%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$71.7K today

$53.5K Liq.

108

Ends em 3 dias

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31

$626K Vol.

$224K Liq.

27

Ends em 6 meses

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

21%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$84.0K Liq.

57

Ends em 6 meses

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$76.3K Liq.

18

Ends em 6 meses

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

9%

$761K Vol.

$47.4K Liq.

30

Ends em 6 meses

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

8%

$3M Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

39%

$186K Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

5

Ends em 6 meses

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

14%

$1M Vol.

$99.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

2%

$250K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

20

Ends em 2 meses

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

13%

$223K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

8%

$56.7K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

6

Ends em 6 meses

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

86%

Abigail Anderson

$5.3K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

7%

$137K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

10

Ends em 6 meses

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

2%

$78.4K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31, 2026

$101K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

4%

June 30

$154K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

31

Ends em 2 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Engagement.

Polymarket currently hosts 18 active markets for Engagement that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 41% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Engagement predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.