**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Elon Musk’s tweet count from August 10–12, 2026, centers on the 40–64 range at 51.5% implied probability, with 65–89 as the next most likely bucket at 22.5%.** This distribution reflects historical patterns in Musk’s posting volume on X, where daily averages often fall between roughly 13–21 posts during typical three-day windows without major catalysts. Recent comparable Polymarket resolutions for weekly or multi-day periods in 2026 have frequently landed in similar mid-range bands, driven by consistent activity around Tesla updates, X platform commentary, and personal observations rather than spikes from product launches or political events. The current odds price in a relatively quiet stretch, with no confirmed high-profile SpaceX, Tesla, or xAI announcements timed to those specific dates that would push volume into the higher buckets. Traders appear to be weighting the baseline cadence of Musk’s feed—main posts, quotes, and reposts—against the low probability of an unusual surge or slowdown, producing the clear favorite in the 40–64 outcome. Upcoming chart updates or any last-minute verified developments could still shift momentum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 51%
65-89 23%
<40 22%
90-114 5%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
<40
22%
40-64
51%
65-89
23%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 51%
65-89 23%
<40 22%
90-114 5%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
<40
$126 Vol.
22%
40-64
$159 Vol.
51%
65-89
$1,112 Vol.
23%
90-114
$261 Vol.
5%
115-139
$100 Vol.
1%
140-164
$602 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$617 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$149 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$146 Vol.
<1%
240+
$378 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Elon Musk’s tweet count from August 10–12, 2026, centers on the 40–64 range at 51.5% implied probability, with 65–89 as the next most likely bucket at 22.5%.** This distribution reflects historical patterns in Musk’s posting volume on X, where daily averages often fall between roughly 13–21 posts during typical three-day windows without major catalysts.
Recent comparable Polymarket resolutions for weekly or multi-day periods in 2026 have frequently landed in similar mid-range bands, driven by consistent activity around Tesla updates, X platform commentary, and personal observations rather than spikes from product launches or political events. The current odds price in a relatively quiet stretch, with no confirmed high-profile SpaceX, Tesla, or xAI announcements timed to those specific dates that would push volume into the higher buckets.
Traders appear to be weighting the baseline cadence of Musk’s feed—main posts, quotes, and reposts—against the low probability of an unusual surge or slowdown, producing the clear favorite in the 40–64 outcome. Upcoming chart updates or any last-minute verified developments could still shift momentum before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$3,649Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Elon Musk’s tweet count from August 10–12, 2026, centers on the 40–64 range at 51.5% implied probability, with 65–89 as the next most likely bucket at 22.5%.** This distribution reflects historical patterns in Musk’s posting volume on X, where daily averages often fall between roughly 13–21 posts during typical three-day windows without major catalysts.
Recent comparable Polymarket resolutions for weekly or multi-day periods in 2026 have frequently landed in similar mid-range bands, driven by consistent activity around Tesla updates, X platform commentary, and personal observations rather than spikes from product launches or political events. The current odds price in a relatively quiet stretch, with no confirmed high-profile SpaceX, Tesla, or xAI announcements timed to those specific dates that would push volume into the higher buckets.
Traders appear to be weighting the baseline cadence of Musk’s feed—main posts, quotes, and reposts—against the low probability of an unusual surge or slowdown, producing the clear favorite in the 40–64 outcome. Upcoming chart updates or any last-minute verified developments could still shift momentum before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,649Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Elon Musk’s tweet count from August 10–12, 2026, centers on the 40–64 range at 51.5% implied probability, with 65–89 as the next most likely bucket at 22.5%.** This distribution reflects historical patterns in Musk’s posting volume on X, where daily averages often fall between roughly 13–21 posts during typical three-day windows without major catalysts. Recent comparable Polymarket resolutions for weekly or multi-day periods in 2026 have frequently landed in similar mid-range bands, driven by consistent activity around Tesla updates, X platform commentary, and personal observations rather than spikes from product launches or political events. The current odds price in a relatively quiet stretch, with no confirmed high-profile SpaceX, Tesla, or xAI announcements timed to those specific dates that would push volume into the higher buckets. Traders appear to be weighting the baseline cadence of Musk’s feed—main posts, quotes, and reposts—against the low probability of an unusual surge or slowdown, producing the clear favorite in the 40–64 outcome. Upcoming chart updates or any last-minute verified developments could still shift momentum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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