SpaceX has completed key ground rehearsals at Pad 2 in mid-September 2026, lifting Ship 42 into Mechazilla chopstick arms, cycling attachment systems, testing lateral pushers, and repeatedly connecting the Ship Quick Disconnect arm to simulate post-catch propellant draining. These tests on the vehicle assigned to Flight 15 validate the hardware and procedures needed for an upper-stage catch, building on proven Super Heavy booster recoveries. Flight 14, now targeted for late September with Booster 21 and Ship 41, focuses on the first full orbital profile and Starlink deployment but plans an ocean splashdown rather than a tower attempt. Flight 15 later in the fall remains the leading candidate for the initial ship catch, following Elon Musk’s July 2026 guidance after Flight 13. Traders are watching regulatory timelines, post-flight data reviews, and any last-minute shifts in landing plans as near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs pauzinhos capturam um estágio superior da Nave Estelar por...?
Os pauzinhos capturam um estágio superior da Nave Estelar por...?
NOVO
30 set 2026
30 de setembro de 2026
7%
31 de outubro de 2026
47%
$1,977 Vol.
30 de setembro de 2026
$83 Vol.
7%
31 de outubro de 2026
$12 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.SpaceX has completed key ground rehearsals at Pad 2 in mid-September 2026, lifting Ship 42 into Mechazilla chopstick arms, cycling attachment systems, testing lateral pushers, and repeatedly connecting the Ship Quick Disconnect arm to simulate post-catch propellant draining. These tests on the vehicle assigned to Flight 15 validate the hardware and procedures needed for an upper-stage catch, building on proven Super Heavy booster recoveries. Flight 14, now targeted for late September with Booster 21 and Ship 41, focuses on the first full orbital profile and Starlink deployment but plans an ocean splashdown rather than a tower attempt. Flight 15 later in the fall remains the leading candidate for the initial ship catch, following Elon Musk’s July 2026 guidance after Flight 13. Traders are watching regulatory timelines, post-flight data reviews, and any last-minute shifts in landing plans as near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volume
$1,977Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.SpaceX has completed key ground rehearsals at Pad 2 in mid-September 2026, lifting Ship 42 into Mechazilla chopstick arms, cycling attachment systems, testing lateral pushers, and repeatedly connecting the Ship Quick Disconnect arm to simulate post-catch propellant draining. These tests on the vehicle assigned to Flight 15 validate the hardware and procedures needed for an upper-stage catch, building on proven Super Heavy booster recoveries. Flight 14, now targeted for late September with Booster 21 and Ship 41, focuses on the first full orbital profile and Starlink deployment but plans an ocean splashdown rather than a tower attempt. Flight 15 later in the fall remains the leading candidate for the initial ship catch, following Elon Musk’s July 2026 guidance after Flight 13. Traders are watching regulatory timelines, post-flight data reviews, and any last-minute shifts in landing plans as near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Volume
$1,977Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX has completed key ground rehearsals at Pad 2 in mid-September 2026, lifting Ship 42 into Mechazilla chopstick arms, cycling attachment systems, testing lateral pushers, and repeatedly connecting the Ship Quick Disconnect arm to simulate post-catch propellant draining. These tests on the vehicle assigned to Flight 15 validate the hardware and procedures needed for an upper-stage catch, building on proven Super Heavy booster recoveries. Flight 14, now targeted for late September with Booster 21 and Ship 41, focuses on the first full orbital profile and Starlink deployment but plans an ocean splashdown rather than a tower attempt. Flight 15 later in the fall remains the leading candidate for the initial ship catch, following Elon Musk’s July 2026 guidance after Flight 13. Traders are watching regulatory timelines, post-flight data reviews, and any last-minute shifts in landing plans as near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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