The closely matched 50% implied probabilities across dozens of unnamed options, alongside Erling Haaland at 42.5% and Timothée Chalamet at 21.5%, reflect broad trader uncertainty over which entity will rank second in Google’s 2026 Year in Search “People” list. Late-year search algorithms prioritize sustained user engagement from global events, with soccer stars like Haaland benefiting from major tournament visibility and consistent query volume, while actors such as Chalamet or Sydney Sweeney gain from film releases and media cycles. Competitive dynamics hinge on breakout viral trends, platform amplification via social algorithms, and news-driven spikes that could shift entity rankings before December. Key upcoming catalysts include fall sports playoffs, entertainment premieres, and any late geopolitical developments that might elevate figures like Donald Trump or athletes such as Patrick Mahomes. The market consensus, backed by real capital, underscores how unpredictable year-end query patterns remain amid evolving search behaviors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado#2 Pessoa pesquisada no Google 2026?
Matt Damon 29%
Josh Allen 21%
Alysa Liu 21%
Taylor Swift 20%

Matt Damon
29%

Josh Allen
21%

Alysa Liu
21%

Taylor Swift
20%

Bad Bunny
15%

Donald Trump
12%

Scottie Scheffler
11%

Erling Haaland
10%

Sydney Sweeney
10%

Shohei Ohtani
9%

Elon Musk
8%

Billie Eilish
8%

Benjamin Netanyahu
7%

LeBron James
6%

Ariana Grande
6%

Kanye West
5%

Pedro Pascal
5%

Patrick Mahomes
5%

Luka Dončić
5%

Robert Downey Jr.
5%

Cristiano Ronaldo
5%

Kylian Mbappé
5%

Jude Bellingham
5%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
5%

Sabrina Carpenter
5%

Joe Burrow
5%

Stefon Diggs
5%

Jake Paul
5%

Lamine Yamal
5%

Travis Kelce
5%

Caitlin Clark
5%

Anthony Edwards
5%

Vladimir Putin
4%

Lionel Messi
4%

Angel Reese
3%

Neymar
3%

JD Vance
3%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Chappell Roan
2%

Zendaya
2%

Timothée Chalamet
1%

Scarlett Johansson
15%

Ja Morant
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Lindsay Clancy
1%

Christian Pulisic
9%
Matt Damon 29%
Josh Allen 21%
Alysa Liu 21%
Taylor Swift 20%

Matt Damon
29%

Josh Allen
21%

Alysa Liu
21%

Taylor Swift
20%

Bad Bunny
15%

Donald Trump
12%

Scottie Scheffler
11%

Erling Haaland
10%

Sydney Sweeney
10%

Shohei Ohtani
9%

Elon Musk
8%

Billie Eilish
8%

Benjamin Netanyahu
7%

LeBron James
6%

Ariana Grande
6%

Kanye West
5%

Pedro Pascal
5%

Patrick Mahomes
5%

Luka Dončić
5%

Robert Downey Jr.
5%

Cristiano Ronaldo
5%

Kylian Mbappé
5%

Jude Bellingham
5%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
5%

Sabrina Carpenter
5%

Joe Burrow
5%

Stefon Diggs
5%

Jake Paul
5%

Lamine Yamal
5%

Travis Kelce
5%

Caitlin Clark
5%

Anthony Edwards
5%

Vladimir Putin
4%

Lionel Messi
4%

Angel Reese
3%

Neymar
3%

JD Vance
3%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Chappell Roan
2%

Zendaya
2%

Timothée Chalamet
1%

Scarlett Johansson
15%

Ja Morant
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Lindsay Clancy
1%

Christian Pulisic
9%
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched 50% implied probabilities across dozens of unnamed options, alongside Erling Haaland at 42.5% and Timothée Chalamet at 21.5%, reflect broad trader uncertainty over which entity will rank second in Google’s 2026 Year in Search “People” list. Late-year search algorithms prioritize sustained user engagement from global events, with soccer stars like Haaland benefiting from major tournament visibility and consistent query volume, while actors such as Chalamet or Sydney Sweeney gain from film releases and media cycles. Competitive dynamics hinge on breakout viral trends, platform amplification via social algorithms, and news-driven spikes that could shift entity rankings before December. Key upcoming catalysts include fall sports playoffs, entertainment premieres, and any late geopolitical developments that might elevate figures like Donald Trump or athletes such as Patrick Mahomes. The market consensus, backed by real capital, underscores how unpredictable year-end query patterns remain amid evolving search behaviors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions