Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria (Lower Strikes)
150-160 milhões 47%
140-150 milhões 46%
130-140 milhões 43%
<130 milhões 43%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
<130 milhões
43%
130-140 milhões
43%
140-150 milhões
46%
150-160 milhões
47%
160-170 milhões
43%
170-180 milhões
43%
180 milhões+
43%
150-160 milhões 47%
140-150 milhões 46%
130-140 milhões 43%
<130 milhões 43%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
<130 milhões
$0 Vol.
43%
130-140 milhões
$0 Vol.
43%
140-150 milhões
$0 Vol.
46%
150-160 milhões
$0 Vol.
47%
160-170 milhões
$0 Vol.
43%
170-180 milhões
$0 Vol.
43%
180 milhões+
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening and $42 million single-day Tuesday have set an unprecedented pace, pushing the film past $1 billion globally in just six days and establishing it as 2026’s top earner. Traders see these factors supporting a sophomore frame near the $140–160 million range, though August timing introduces greater uncertainty around the drop compared with holiday releases like Endgame. Industry tracking highlights competition between a 55–60% decline versus potential IMAX-driven resilience, leaving the 140–150 million and 150–160 million brackets nearly tied in market-implied odds. The upcoming weekend actuals will resolve the tight spread.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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