Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s $360 million opening weekend in late July has anchored trader consensus at 52% implied probability for the year’s biggest debut week. Its domestic haul already exceeds $700 million domestically within weeks, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, strong reviews, and premium-format demand. Avengers: Doomsday sits close behind at 44.5% on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, Russo Brothers direction, and MCU crossover anticipation, though its December 18 slot leaves room for late shifts in presales or competition. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each, reflecting earlier or more distant release positioning and comparatively modest tracking.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 52%
Avengers: Doomsday 45%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$108,495 Vol.
$108,495 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
52%
Avengers: Doomsday
45%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 52%
Avengers: Doomsday 45%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$108,495 Vol.
$108,495 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$31,925 Vol.
52%
Avengers: Doomsday
$43,634 Vol.
45%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s $360 million opening weekend in late July has anchored trader consensus at 52% implied probability for the year’s biggest debut week. Its domestic haul already exceeds $700 million domestically within weeks, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, strong reviews, and premium-format demand. Avengers: Doomsday sits close behind at 44.5% on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, Russo Brothers direction, and MCU crossover anticipation, though its December 18 slot leaves room for late shifts in presales or competition. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each, reflecting earlier or more distant release positioning and comparatively modest tracking.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$108,495Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s $360 million opening weekend in late July has anchored trader consensus at 52% implied probability for the year’s biggest debut week. Its domestic haul already exceeds $700 million domestically within weeks, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, strong reviews, and premium-format demand. Avengers: Doomsday sits close behind at 44.5% on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, Russo Brothers direction, and MCU crossover anticipation, though its December 18 slot leaves room for late shifts in presales or competition. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each, reflecting earlier or more distant release positioning and comparatively modest tracking.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$108,495Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s $360 million opening weekend in late July has anchored trader consensus at 52% implied probability for the year’s biggest debut week. Its domestic haul already exceeds $700 million domestically within weeks, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, strong reviews, and premium-format demand. Avengers: Doomsday sits close behind at 44.5% on the strength of Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, Russo Brothers direction, and MCU crossover anticipation, though its December 18 slot leaves room for late shifts in presales or competition. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each, reflecting earlier or more distant release positioning and comparatively modest tracking.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions