Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest opening weekend at 66% implied probability, driven by exceptional advance ticket sales exceeding $35–100 million months ahead of its December 18 release and strong trailer response that highlights its massive ensemble crossover of Avengers, Fantastic Four, and X-Men characters. Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, combined with the film’s 165-minute runtime and Infinity Vision format push, fuels expectations of a $260–300 million domestic debut that could challenge or surpass recent benchmarks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 35% after its record $360 million July opening, establishing a formidable high bar but facing less momentum as attention shifts to the holiday tentpole. The remaining titles trail at 0.1% each, reflecting far lower anticipated scale relative to these franchise heavyweights.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$114,602 Vol.
$114,602 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$114,602 Vol.
$114,602 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$46,845 Vol.
66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$34,821 Vol.
35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
Toy Story 5
$3,657 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest opening weekend at 66% implied probability, driven by exceptional advance ticket sales exceeding $35–100 million months ahead of its December 18 release and strong trailer response that highlights its massive ensemble crossover of Avengers, Fantastic Four, and X-Men characters. Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, combined with the film’s 165-minute runtime and Infinity Vision format push, fuels expectations of a $260–300 million domestic debut that could challenge or surpass recent benchmarks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 35% after its record $360 million July opening, establishing a formidable high bar but facing less momentum as attention shifts to the holiday tentpole. The remaining titles trail at 0.1% each, reflecting far lower anticipated scale relative to these franchise heavyweights.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$114,602Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest opening weekend at 66% implied probability, driven by exceptional advance ticket sales exceeding $35–100 million months ahead of its December 18 release and strong trailer response that highlights its massive ensemble crossover of Avengers, Fantastic Four, and X-Men characters. Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, combined with the film’s 165-minute runtime and Infinity Vision format push, fuels expectations of a $260–300 million domestic debut that could challenge or surpass recent benchmarks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 35% after its record $360 million July opening, establishing a formidable high bar but facing less momentum as attention shifts to the holiday tentpole. The remaining titles trail at 0.1% each, reflecting far lower anticipated scale relative to these franchise heavyweights.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$114,602Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest opening weekend at 66% implied probability, driven by exceptional advance ticket sales exceeding $35–100 million months ahead of its December 18 release and strong trailer response that highlights its massive ensemble crossover of Avengers, Fantastic Four, and X-Men characters. Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, combined with the film’s 165-minute runtime and Infinity Vision format push, fuels expectations of a $260–300 million domestic debut that could challenge or surpass recent benchmarks. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 35% after its record $360 million July opening, establishing a formidable high bar but facing less momentum as attention shifts to the holiday tentpole. The remaining titles trail at 0.1% each, reflecting far lower anticipated scale relative to these franchise heavyweights.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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