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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

jul 7

jul 7

Little Brother 50%

Talk to Me 50%

KPop Demon Hunters 50%

Gone Girl 50%

Polymarket
NOVO

Little Brother 50%

Talk to Me 50%

KPop Demon Hunters 50%

Gone Girl 50%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Little Brother

Little Brother

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Talk to Me

Talk to Me

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for KPop Demon Hunters

KPop Demon Hunters

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Gone Girl

Gone Girl

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for GOAT

GOAT

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Enola Holmes 3

Enola Holmes 3

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Maternal Instinct

Maternal Instinct

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Voicemails for Isabelle

Voicemails for Isabelle

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Spider-Man: Homecoming

Spider-Man: Homecoming

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for The Choral

The Choral

$0 Vol.

50%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With multiple titles clustered near 50% implied probability, traders see no dominant frontrunner for the top US Netflix movie this week amid a crowded field of recent originals and licensed holdovers. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekly viewership velocity, where new releases like Voicemails for Isabelle and Little Brother vie with momentum plays such as Maternal Instinct and GOAT. Key differentiators include release timing, star-driven buzz, genre appeal, and platform promotion, as Netflix’s opaque metrics reward titles that sustain or spike engagement across the seven-day window. Historical patterns show late-week surges or algorithm boosts can shift outcomes sharply, leaving the market reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than consensus on any single contender.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
Data de Término
7 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With multiple titles clustered near 50% implied probability, traders see no dominant frontrunner for the top US Netflix movie this week amid a crowded field of recent originals and licensed holdovers. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekly viewership velocity, where new releases like Voicemails for Isabelle and Little Brother vie with momentum plays such as Maternal Instinct and GOAT. Key differentiators include release timing, star-driven buzz, genre appeal, and platform promotion, as Netflix’s opaque metrics reward titles that sustain or spike engagement across the seven-day window. Historical patterns show late-week surges or algorithm boosts can shift outcomes sharply, leaving the market reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than consensus on any single contender.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$0
Data de Término
7 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Little Brother" at 50%, followed by "Talk to Me" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Little Brother" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Talk to Me" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.