Trader consensus strongly favors "No Bond chosen" at a 74.5% implied probability, reflecting Eon Productions' deliberate pace—no official casting announcement amid Bond 26 delays pushing release to 2028 or later, with producers Barbara Broccoli and Amazon MGM urging patience as script and director finalize. Callum Turner tops the field at 8.8%, propelled by recent betting surges on Kalshi and Polymarket, viral insider whispers he's confiding the role to friends, and breakout momentum from Masters of the Air. Aaron Taylor-Johnson holds 5.5% on lingering Sun reports of an offer, while Jacob Elordi's 3.3% reflects fresh "pole position" buzz and Harris Dickinson's slashed odds. Upcoming studio updates could shift this secretive process.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo ator de James Bond?
Próximo ator de James Bond?
Nenhum Bond escolhido 75%
Callum Turner 8.8%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.5%
Jacob Elordi 3.3%
$2,178,559 Vol.
$2,178,559 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
75%

Callum Turner
9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Henry Cavill
1%

Theo James
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
1%

Tom Holland
1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Nenhum Bond escolhido 75%
Callum Turner 8.8%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 5.5%
Jacob Elordi 3.3%
$2,178,559 Vol.
$2,178,559 Vol.

Nenhum Bond escolhido
75%

Callum Turner
9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Henry Cavill
1%

Theo James
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
1%

Tom Holland
1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors "No Bond chosen" at a 74.5% implied probability, reflecting Eon Productions' deliberate pace—no official casting announcement amid Bond 26 delays pushing release to 2028 or later, with producers Barbara Broccoli and Amazon MGM urging patience as script and director finalize. Callum Turner tops the field at 8.8%, propelled by recent betting surges on Kalshi and Polymarket, viral insider whispers he's confiding the role to friends, and breakout momentum from Masters of the Air. Aaron Taylor-Johnson holds 5.5% on lingering Sun reports of an offer, while Jacob Elordi's 3.3% reflects fresh "pole position" buzz and Harris Dickinson's slashed odds. Upcoming studio updates could shift this secretive process.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions