Recent price softening for the 2026 Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Charmander #038 has produced the market’s 64.5% implied probability that its ungraded Collectr value will finish above $38.92 on August 31. After earlier peaks near $45–50, raw copies have settled in the mid-to-high $30s amid a broader post-hype correction across first-partner promos, with recent TCGPlayer and eBay sales clustering around $35–38.50. Offsetting support comes from overall Pokémon TCG market resilience—up nearly 3% in the past month—and the August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tin, which could rekindle demand for related illustration rares ahead of resolution. Traders are monitoring daily sales velocity and any last-minute collector buying for signs of stabilization versus continued drift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPreço do Charmander sobe/desce em 31 de agosto?
Preço do Charmander sobe/desce em 31 de agosto?
Up
65% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
Up
65% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $38.92.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).Recent price softening for the 2026 Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Charmander #038 has produced the market’s 64.5% implied probability that its ungraded Collectr value will finish above $38.92 on August 31. After earlier peaks near $45–50, raw copies have settled in the mid-to-high $30s amid a broader post-hype correction across first-partner promos, with recent TCGPlayer and eBay sales clustering around $35–38.50. Offsetting support comes from overall Pokémon TCG market resilience—up nearly 3% in the past month—and the August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tin, which could rekindle demand for related illustration rares ahead of resolution. Traders are monitoring daily sales velocity and any last-minute collector buying for signs of stabilization versus continued drift.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $38.92.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $38.92.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).Recent price softening for the 2026 Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Charmander #038 has produced the market’s 64.5% implied probability that its ungraded Collectr value will finish above $38.92 on August 31. After earlier peaks near $45–50, raw copies have settled in the mid-to-high $30s amid a broader post-hype correction across first-partner promos, with recent TCGPlayer and eBay sales clustering around $35–38.50. Offsetting support comes from overall Pokémon TCG market resilience—up nearly 3% in the past month—and the August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tin, which could rekindle demand for related illustration rares ahead of resolution. Traders are monitoring daily sales velocity and any last-minute collector buying for signs of stabilization versus continued drift.
This market will resolve to “Up” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $38.92.
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent price softening for the 2026 Mega Evolution Black Star Promo Charmander #038 has produced the market’s 64.5% implied probability that its ungraded Collectr value will finish above $38.92 on August 31. After earlier peaks near $45–50, raw copies have settled in the mid-to-high $30s amid a broader post-hype correction across first-partner promos, with recent TCGPlayer and eBay sales clustering around $35–38.50. Offsetting support comes from overall Pokémon TCG market resilience—up nearly 3% in the past month—and the August 28 release of the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes tin, which could rekindle demand for related illustration rares ahead of resolution. Traders are monitoring daily sales velocity and any last-minute collector buying for signs of stabilization versus continued drift.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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