Strong domestic tracking for the third weekend of Spider-Man: Brand New Day, following its record $360 million opening and $144 million second frame, has positioned the 66-68 million range as the market favorite at 45.5% implied probability. Industry projections center on a 50-60% decline from the prior weekend, consistent with typical legs for major superhero releases, while the film’s $715 million domestic cume and $1.8 billion worldwide total underscore sustained audience interest. Traders are weighting recent daily holds, including a solid midweek performance, against competition and seasonal August softness. The next key catalyst remains the final weekend actuals, which will lock resolution by Monday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado3º fim de semana de bilheteria de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (Lower Strikes)
3º fim de semana de bilheteria de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (Lower Strikes)
66-68m 47%
68-70m 25.4%
70-72m 13.4%
<66m 10%
NOVO
$13,973 Vol.
NOVO
$13,973 Vol.
16 ago 2026
<66m
10%
66-68m
47%
68-70m
25%
70-72m
13%
72 milhões+
3%
66-68m 47%
68-70m 25.4%
70-72m 13.4%
<66m 10%
NOVO
$13,973 Vol.
NOVO
$13,973 Vol.
16 ago 2026
<66m
$6,221 Vol.
10%
66-68m
$2,713 Vol.
47%
68-70m
$2,186 Vol.
25%
70-72m
$1,263 Vol.
13%
72 milhões+
$1,591 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong domestic tracking for the third weekend of Spider-Man: Brand New Day, following its record $360 million opening and $144 million second frame, has positioned the 66-68 million range as the market favorite at 45.5% implied probability. Industry projections center on a 50-60% decline from the prior weekend, consistent with typical legs for major superhero releases, while the film’s $715 million domestic cume and $1.8 billion worldwide total underscore sustained audience interest. Traders are weighting recent daily holds, including a solid midweek performance, against competition and seasonal August softness. The next key catalyst remains the final weekend actuals, which will lock resolution by Monday.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$13,973Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong domestic tracking for the third weekend of Spider-Man: Brand New Day, following its record $360 million opening and $144 million second frame, has positioned the 66-68 million range as the market favorite at 45.5% implied probability. Industry projections center on a 50-60% decline from the prior weekend, consistent with typical legs for major superhero releases, while the film’s $715 million domestic cume and $1.8 billion worldwide total underscore sustained audience interest. Traders are weighting recent daily holds, including a solid midweek performance, against competition and seasonal August softness. The next key catalyst remains the final weekend actuals, which will lock resolution by Monday.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$13,973Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong domestic tracking for the third weekend of Spider-Man: Brand New Day, following its record $360 million opening and $144 million second frame, has positioned the 66-68 million range as the market favorite at 45.5% implied probability. Industry projections center on a 50-60% decline from the prior weekend, consistent with typical legs for major superhero releases, while the film’s $715 million domestic cume and $1.8 billion worldwide total underscore sustained audience interest. Traders are weighting recent daily holds, including a solid midweek performance, against competition and seasonal August softness. The next key catalyst remains the final weekend actuals, which will lock resolution by Monday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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