Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, combined with national polls showing the party at roughly 22% support and gains for Reform UK, has heightened speculation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer may call an early general election to reset before the fixed term ends. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister holds sole discretion to request dissolution at any time before the August 2029 deadline. Traders focus on near-term catalysts such as upcoming by-elections and autumn policy announcements that could intensify internal Labour pressure or economic headwinds, while noting the absence of any immediate crisis forcing a 2026 vote. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects ongoing assessments of political volatility and timing incentives.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleições no Reino Unido convocadas por...?
Eleições no Reino Unido convocadas por...?
$819,849 Vol.
31 dez 2026
December 31, 2026
17%
June 30, 2027
31%
$819,849 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$24,736 Vol.
17%
June 30, 2027
$3,965 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, combined with national polls showing the party at roughly 22% support and gains for Reform UK, has heightened speculation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer may call an early general election to reset before the fixed term ends. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister holds sole discretion to request dissolution at any time before the August 2029 deadline. Traders focus on near-term catalysts such as upcoming by-elections and autumn policy announcements that could intensify internal Labour pressure or economic headwinds, while noting the absence of any immediate crisis forcing a 2026 vote. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects ongoing assessments of political volatility and timing incentives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$819,849Data de Término
31 dez 2025Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, combined with national polls showing the party at roughly 22% support and gains for Reform UK, has heightened speculation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer may call an early general election to reset before the fixed term ends. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister holds sole discretion to request dissolution at any time before the August 2029 deadline. Traders focus on near-term catalysts such as upcoming by-elections and autumn policy announcements that could intensify internal Labour pressure or economic headwinds, while noting the absence of any immediate crisis forcing a 2026 vote. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects ongoing assessments of political volatility and timing incentives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$819,849Data de Término
31 dez 2025Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Labour's poor performance in the May 2026 local elections, combined with national polls showing the party at roughly 22% support and gains for Reform UK, has heightened speculation that Prime Minister Keir Starmer may call an early general election to reset before the fixed term ends. Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act, the prime minister holds sole discretion to request dissolution at any time before the August 2029 deadline. Traders focus on near-term catalysts such as upcoming by-elections and autumn policy announcements that could intensify internal Labour pressure or economic headwinds, while noting the absence of any immediate crisis forcing a 2026 vote. The wisdom of crowds in these markets reflects ongoing assessments of political volatility and timing incentives.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions