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Conta previsões e probabilidades

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Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

<1%

$20.4K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 2 dias

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

<1%

$705K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

15

Ends em 2 dias

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Trump on $250 bill this year?

8%

$17.3K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

40%

$100K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

49%

$1.5K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

42%

$3.1K Vol.

$497 Liq.

5

Ends em 2 meses

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

44%

July 30

$0 Vol.

$139 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

44%

July 30

$0 Vol.

$121 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

5%

$717 Vol.

$70 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

100%

Julia Letlow

$563K Vol.

$60.9K today

$463K Liq.

10

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

<1%

Bill Gates

$2M Vol.

$383K Liq.

129

Ends em 2 dias

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

47%

Click Bishop

$213K Vol.

$163K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

31%

Tom Begich

$1M Vol.

$370K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

21%

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

$161K Vol.

$201K Liq.

4

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

96%

Amy Klobuchar

$31.8K Vol.

$85.6K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

95%

Nick Begich III

$11.0K Vol.

$49.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

1%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$62.6K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

11

Ends em 2 dias

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

68%

Marquita Bradshaw

$14.9K Vol.

$46.5K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

11%

John Stanton

$213K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

3

Ends em 2 meses

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

24%

December 31

$447K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

5

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Conta.

Polymarket currently hosts 46 active markets for Conta that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bill Gates charged by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who visited Epstein's Island?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who visited Epstein's Island?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 0% chance to Bill Gates. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Conta predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.