Italy’s nuclear framework bill cleared the lower house in early June 2026 but has seen no reported Senate action since, despite earlier government expectations of approval before the July recess. With the August 31 deadline now only weeks away and the upper chamber’s calendar showing no scheduled vote, traders assign near-certain odds against passage. The Meloni government continues to back enabling legislation for sustainable nuclear technologies, safety authorities, and related decrees, yet procedural timelines and summer scheduling have prevented advancement. Realistic paths to a “Yes” outcome would require an unscheduled emergency session or expedited procedure before month-end, both viewed as low-probability given the absence of recent movement.