The Italian Chamber of Deputies approved the nuclear enabling bill on June 4, 2026, by a 155-86-8 vote, sending it to the Senate for final passage. The Meloni government, which holds a Senate majority, has targeted approval before the end of July summer recess to allow implementing decrees by year-end. Traders assign a 64.5% probability to missing the August 31 deadline due to standard upper-house committee review, possible amendments, opposition procedural holds, and the compressed bicameral calendar. While ultimate enactment faces no structural barriers, these routine legislative frictions create a narrow window for slippage into September without changing the bill’s long-term prospects.