Ongoing US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, launched after April 2026 direct talks in Washington, have produced a June framework agreement on ceasefire implementation, Hezbollah disarmament, and phased IDF withdrawals from southern Lebanon pilot zones. Multiple rounds followed in Rome and Washington, with the seventh concluding in early August and the next scheduled for September, though violations, Hezbollah opposition, and border disputes have caused setbacks. Trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum under US facilitation alongside persistent security and sovereignty hurdles that could delay or derail further meetings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$51,410 Vol.
31 ago 2026
August 31
11%
September 30
76%
$51,410 Vol.
August 31
$45,208 Vol.
11%
September 30
$6,358 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, launched after April 2026 direct talks in Washington, have produced a June framework agreement on ceasefire implementation, Hezbollah disarmament, and phased IDF withdrawals from southern Lebanon pilot zones. Multiple rounds followed in Rome and Washington, with the seventh concluding in early August and the next scheduled for September, though violations, Hezbollah opposition, and border disputes have caused setbacks. Trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum under US facilitation alongside persistent security and sovereignty hurdles that could delay or derail further meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$51,410Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, launched after April 2026 direct talks in Washington, have produced a June framework agreement on ceasefire implementation, Hezbollah disarmament, and phased IDF withdrawals from southern Lebanon pilot zones. Multiple rounds followed in Rome and Washington, with the seventh concluding in early August and the next scheduled for September, though violations, Hezbollah opposition, and border disputes have caused setbacks. Trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum under US facilitation alongside persistent security and sovereignty hurdles that could delay or derail further meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$51,410Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-mediated negotiations between Israel and Lebanon, launched after April 2026 direct talks in Washington, have produced a June framework agreement on ceasefire implementation, Hezbollah disarmament, and phased IDF withdrawals from southern Lebanon pilot zones. Multiple rounds followed in Rome and Washington, with the seventh concluding in early August and the next scheduled for September, though violations, Hezbollah opposition, and border disputes have caused setbacks. Trader consensus reflects sustained diplomatic momentum under US facilitation alongside persistent security and sovereignty hurdles that could delay or derail further meetings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions