Skip to main content

Hezbollah previsões e probabilidades

·
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

17%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$793K today

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

4%

May 31

$163K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

23

Ends em 16 dias

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

May 31

$28.9K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

8

Ends em 16 dias

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

4%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$524K Vol.

$184K Liq.

13

Ends em 16 dias

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

14%

June 30, 2026

$762K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

44

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

57%

May 17

$129K Vol.

$98.9K today

$88.8K Liq.

4

Ends em 2 dias

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

10%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$130K today

$69.1K Liq.

20

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

97%

$179K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

17

Ends em 16 dias

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

23%

$153K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há 15 dias

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

19%

June 30

$35.3K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

4

Ends há 15 dias

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

70%

<5

$889 Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

8%

$7.1K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

48

Ends em 16 dias

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

77%

<5

$4.7K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

57%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$200K today

$271K Liq.

458

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B

Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B

100%

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

$16.4K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends há 2 minutos

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

35%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$260K Liq.

1,077

Ends em 8 meses

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

59%

Likud

$2.3K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

65%

$557K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hezbollah.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Hezbollah that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Hezbollah disarm by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $38.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hezbollah predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.