Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?

As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?

icon for As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?

As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?

$1,364,359 Vol.

30 set 2026
Polymarket

$1,364,359 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$9,902 Vol.

1%

31 de março

$0 Vol.

49%

31 de outubro

$1,887 Vol.

4%

December 31

$511,353 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli officials have conditioned any further withdrawals from positions beyond the Litani River on verifiable Lebanese Armed Forces control and Hezbollah disarmament in southern Lebanon, as outlined in the June 2026 Washington framework agreement establishing limited pilot zones. That deal, which included only minor, conditions-based pullbacks from two small areas rather than a fixed timeline, has seen slow implementation amid ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah rejection. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF chief of staff stated that the conflict is not over, emphasized maintaining forward defensive positions inside Lebanese territory, and highlighted the need for stronger Lebanese army performance before additional redeployments. These security priorities, combined with buffer zone consolidation and limited progress on disarmament, shape trader assessments of timelines for broader Israeli force reductions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,364,359
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli officials have conditioned any further withdrawals from positions beyond the Litani River on verifiable Lebanese Armed Forces control and Hezbollah disarmament in southern Lebanon, as outlined in the June 2026 Washington framework agreement establishing limited pilot zones. That deal, which included only minor, conditions-based pullbacks from two small areas rather than a fixed timeline, has seen slow implementation amid ongoing Israeli operations and Hezbollah rejection. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF chief of staff stated that the conflict is not over, emphasized maintaining forward defensive positions inside Lebanese territory, and highlighted the need for stronger Lebanese army performance before additional redeployments. These security priorities, combined with buffer zone consolidation and limited progress on disarmament, shape trader assessments of timelines for broader Israeli force reductions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,364,359
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de março" at 49%, followed by "December 31" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?" is "31 de março" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 31" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "As forças israelenses se retiram além do rio Litani por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.