**Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated primarily through Oman, have centered on Iran's uranium enrichment as the core dispute, with Washington pushing for severe limits or an end to domestic enrichment and Tehran treating the right to enrich as a non-negotiable red line.** Recent rounds (including indirect sessions into early 2026) produced proposals for temporary moratoriums—US demands reached 20 years while Iran countered with around five—alongside stockpile dilution or removal and IAEA oversight, but no agreement to permanently halt enrichment activities. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected offshore or zero-enrichment models, and recent reporting on a potential June 2026 memorandum shows conflicting accounts, with Iranian sources stressing no new nuclear concessions. Strikes on facilities like Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan in 2025 damaged capacity but left verification gaps and questions about remaining stockpiles unresolved, per IAEA updates. With July 31 only weeks away and no verified public commitment from Iran to end enrichment by that date, trader consensus reflects the entrenched positions, short timeline, and lack of a breakthrough aligning with maximalist US terms. Scheduled diplomatic or IAEA developments could still shift dynamics before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
$44,984 Vol.
$44,984 Vol.
31 jul 2026
$44,984 Vol.
$44,984 Vol.
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated primarily through Oman, have centered on Iran's uranium enrichment as the core dispute, with Washington pushing for severe limits or an end to domestic enrichment and Tehran treating the right to enrich as a non-negotiable red line.**
Recent rounds (including indirect sessions into early 2026) produced proposals for temporary moratoriums—US demands reached 20 years while Iran countered with around five—alongside stockpile dilution or removal and IAEA oversight, but no agreement to permanently halt enrichment activities. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected offshore or zero-enrichment models, and recent reporting on a potential June 2026 memorandum shows conflicting accounts, with Iranian sources stressing no new nuclear concessions.
Strikes on facilities like Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan in 2025 damaged capacity but left verification gaps and questions about remaining stockpiles unresolved, per IAEA updates. With July 31 only weeks away and no verified public commitment from Iran to end enrichment by that date, trader consensus reflects the entrenched positions, short timeline, and lack of a breakthrough aligning with maximalist US terms. Scheduled diplomatic or IAEA developments could still shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$44,984Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. **Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated primarily through Oman, have centered on Iran's uranium enrichment as the core dispute, with Washington pushing for severe limits or an end to domestic enrichment and Tehran treating the right to enrich as a non-negotiable red line.**
Recent rounds (including indirect sessions into early 2026) produced proposals for temporary moratoriums—US demands reached 20 years while Iran countered with around five—alongside stockpile dilution or removal and IAEA oversight, but no agreement to permanently halt enrichment activities. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected offshore or zero-enrichment models, and recent reporting on a potential June 2026 memorandum shows conflicting accounts, with Iranian sources stressing no new nuclear concessions.
Strikes on facilities like Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan in 2025 damaged capacity but left verification gaps and questions about remaining stockpiles unresolved, per IAEA updates. With July 31 only weeks away and no verified public commitment from Iran to end enrichment by that date, trader consensus reflects the entrenched positions, short timeline, and lack of a breakthrough aligning with maximalist US terms. Scheduled diplomatic or IAEA developments could still shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$45,019Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated primarily through Oman, have centered on Iran's uranium enrichment as the core dispute, with Washington pushing for severe limits or an end to domestic enrichment and Tehran treating the right to enrich as a non-negotiable red line.** Recent rounds (including indirect sessions into early 2026) produced proposals for temporary moratoriums—US demands reached 20 years while Iran countered with around five—alongside stockpile dilution or removal and IAEA oversight, but no agreement to permanently halt enrichment activities. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected offshore or zero-enrichment models, and recent reporting on a potential June 2026 memorandum shows conflicting accounts, with Iranian sources stressing no new nuclear concessions. Strikes on facilities like Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan in 2025 damaged capacity but left verification gaps and questions about remaining stockpiles unresolved, per IAEA updates. With July 31 only weeks away and no verified public commitment from Iran to end enrichment by that date, trader consensus reflects the entrenched positions, short timeline, and lack of a breakthrough aligning with maximalist US terms. Scheduled diplomatic or IAEA developments could still shift dynamics before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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