Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 65 percent of the vote in South Carolina's 4th congressional district, a seat rated R+11 on the Partisan Voter Index and consistently rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. The district's partisan composition, combined with Timmons' established position and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary or strong challenger in Courtney McClain, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected legal development could narrow margins, though historical base rates in similarly partisan districts limit realistic paths for an upset absent such catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
SC-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$38,882 Vol.
$38,882 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
8%
$38,882 Vol.
$38,882 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$18,170 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$20,712 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 65 percent of the vote in South Carolina's 4th congressional district, a seat rated R+11 on the Partisan Voter Index and consistently rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. The district's partisan composition, combined with Timmons' established position and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary or strong challenger in Courtney McClain, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected legal development could narrow margins, though historical base rates in similarly partisan districts limit realistic paths for an upset absent such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,882Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 65 percent of the vote in South Carolina's 4th congressional district, a seat rated R+11 on the Partisan Voter Index and consistently rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. The district's partisan composition, combined with Timmons' established position and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary or strong challenger in Courtney McClain, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected legal development could narrow margins, though historical base rates in similarly partisan districts limit realistic paths for an upset absent such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,882Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican William Timmons secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 65 percent of the vote in South Carolina's 4th congressional district, a seat rated R+11 on the Partisan Voter Index and consistently rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. The district's partisan composition, combined with Timmons' established position and the absence of a competitive Democratic primary or strong challenger in Courtney McClain, underpins trader consensus around a Republican victory on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected legal development could narrow margins, though historical base rates in similarly partisan districts limit realistic paths for an upset absent such catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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