Jim Clyburn's long incumbency since 1993 and the South Carolina 6th District's consistent Democratic lean—encompassing Columbia, North Charleston, and rural Black Belt counties—underpin the market's 95% consensus for his November 3, 2026 reelection. He secured the Democratic nomination with over 90% in the June primary, while Republican nominee John Peterson, a local party official and first-time candidate, won his primary with 74%. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on prior results, including Clyburn's 2024 margin, and limited redistricting impact. Potential shifts remain tied to low-probability developments such as health events, major scandals, or national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
SC-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$34,860 Vol.
$34,860 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Clyburn (D)
95%
John Peterson (R)
6%
$34,860 Vol.
$34,860 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim Clyburn (D)
$18,636 Vol.
95%
John Peterson (R)
$16,224 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Clyburn's long incumbency since 1993 and the South Carolina 6th District's consistent Democratic lean—encompassing Columbia, North Charleston, and rural Black Belt counties—underpin the market's 95% consensus for his November 3, 2026 reelection. He secured the Democratic nomination with over 90% in the June primary, while Republican nominee John Peterson, a local party official and first-time candidate, won his primary with 74%. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on prior results, including Clyburn's 2024 margin, and limited redistricting impact. Potential shifts remain tied to low-probability developments such as health events, major scandals, or national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$34,860Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Clyburn's long incumbency since 1993 and the South Carolina 6th District's consistent Democratic lean—encompassing Columbia, North Charleston, and rural Black Belt counties—underpin the market's 95% consensus for his November 3, 2026 reelection. He secured the Democratic nomination with over 90% in the June primary, while Republican nominee John Peterson, a local party official and first-time candidate, won his primary with 74%. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on prior results, including Clyburn's 2024 margin, and limited redistricting impact. Potential shifts remain tied to low-probability developments such as health events, major scandals, or national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$34,860Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jim Clyburn's long incumbency since 1993 and the South Carolina 6th District's consistent Democratic lean—encompassing Columbia, North Charleston, and rural Black Belt counties—underpin the market's 95% consensus for his November 3, 2026 reelection. He secured the Democratic nomination with over 90% in the June primary, while Republican nominee John Peterson, a local party official and first-time candidate, won his primary with 74%. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on prior results, including Clyburn's 2024 margin, and limited redistricting impact. Potential shifts remain tied to low-probability developments such as health events, major scandals, or national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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