Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee and former governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap following a June 2026 ranked-choice primary. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide races, and alignment with national midterm dynamics keep the contest close, as shown by polling averages near the margin of error. Trader consensus at 58% for Republicans versus 42.5% for Democrats reflects LePage’s name recognition and fundraising edge balanced against Dunlap’s state government experience and the seat’s historical competitiveness. Upcoming debates, endorsements, turnout patterns in key counties, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
58%
Partido Democrata
42%
NOVO
NOVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,782 Vol.
58%
Partido Democrata
$2,263 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee and former governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap following a June 2026 ranked-choice primary. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide races, and alignment with national midterm dynamics keep the contest close, as shown by polling averages near the margin of error. Trader consensus at 58% for Republicans versus 42.5% for Democrats reflects LePage’s name recognition and fundraising edge balanced against Dunlap’s state government experience and the seat’s historical competitiveness. Upcoming debates, endorsements, turnout patterns in key counties, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$8,044Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee and former governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap following a June 2026 ranked-choice primary. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide races, and alignment with national midterm dynamics keep the contest close, as shown by polling averages near the margin of error. Trader consensus at 58% for Republicans versus 42.5% for Democrats reflects LePage’s name recognition and fundraising edge balanced against Dunlap’s state government experience and the seat’s historical competitiveness. Upcoming debates, endorsements, turnout patterns in key counties, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,044Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee and former governor Paul LePage against Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap following a June 2026 ranked-choice primary. The district’s rural character, recent Republican strength in statewide races, and alignment with national midterm dynamics keep the contest close, as shown by polling averages near the margin of error. Trader consensus at 58% for Republicans versus 42.5% for Democrats reflects LePage’s name recognition and fundraising edge balanced against Dunlap’s state government experience and the seat’s historical competitiveness. Upcoming debates, endorsements, turnout patterns in key counties, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen the gap before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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