Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree's established position in Maine's 1st Congressional District drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a D+11 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Pingree advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary, while Republican Ronald C. Russell emerged from a low-turnout contest against limited opposition. With no competitive polling shifts or major developments in recent weeks altering the structural advantage, the implied probability aligns with the district's historical margins and the absence of viable challengers capable of overcoming its partisan lean. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal or health event involving the incumbent remain the primary theoretical paths that could narrow the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoME-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
ME-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$45,006 Vol.
$45,006 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$45,006 Vol.
$45,006 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$30,105 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$14,900 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree's established position in Maine's 1st Congressional District drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a D+11 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Pingree advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary, while Republican Ronald C. Russell emerged from a low-turnout contest against limited opposition. With no competitive polling shifts or major developments in recent weeks altering the structural advantage, the implied probability aligns with the district's historical margins and the absence of viable challengers capable of overcoming its partisan lean. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal or health event involving the incumbent remain the primary theoretical paths that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,006Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree's established position in Maine's 1st Congressional District drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a D+11 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Pingree advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary, while Republican Ronald C. Russell emerged from a low-turnout contest against limited opposition. With no competitive polling shifts or major developments in recent weeks altering the structural advantage, the implied probability aligns with the district's historical margins and the absence of viable challengers capable of overcoming its partisan lean. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal or health event involving the incumbent remain the primary theoretical paths that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,006Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chellie Pingree's established position in Maine's 1st Congressional District drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a D+11 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Pingree advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary, while Republican Ronald C. Russell emerged from a low-turnout contest against limited opposition. With no competitive polling shifts or major developments in recent weeks altering the structural advantage, the implied probability aligns with the district's historical margins and the absence of viable challengers capable of overcoming its partisan lean. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal or health event involving the incumbent remain the primary theoretical paths that could narrow the gap.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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