Bennie Thompson’s long incumbency since 1993 and Mississippi’s 2nd district’s entrenched Democratic lean—rated Solid D with a partisan voting index exceeding D+11—underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Thompson secured the nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Ron Eller emerged from his contest with no subsequent polling shifts or candidate changes altering the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s composition, encompassing the Mississippi Delta and Jackson, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as health events or late scandals affecting the incumbent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MS-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MS-02
$36,491 Vol.
$36,491 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
8%
$36,491 Vol.
$36,491 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$21,474 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$15,017 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson’s long incumbency since 1993 and Mississippi’s 2nd district’s entrenched Democratic lean—rated Solid D with a partisan voting index exceeding D+11—underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Thompson secured the nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Ron Eller emerged from his contest with no subsequent polling shifts or candidate changes altering the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s composition, encompassing the Mississippi Delta and Jackson, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as health events or late scandals affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,491Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson’s long incumbency since 1993 and Mississippi’s 2nd district’s entrenched Democratic lean—rated Solid D with a partisan voting index exceeding D+11—underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Thompson secured the nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Ron Eller emerged from his contest with no subsequent polling shifts or candidate changes altering the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s composition, encompassing the Mississippi Delta and Jackson, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as health events or late scandals affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,491Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson’s long incumbency since 1993 and Mississippi’s 2nd district’s entrenched Democratic lean—rated Solid D with a partisan voting index exceeding D+11—underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Thompson secured the nomination comfortably in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Ron Eller emerged from his contest with no subsequent polling shifts or candidate changes altering the fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s composition, encompassing the Mississippi Delta and Jackson, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as health events or late scandals affecting the incumbent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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