Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar

Name: Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar
Start: 2026-02-11T22:53:59.785Z
End: 2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z

0x9378B3F78fEefc97D74bDeC18618582Af7788427-1760116606254 · 2026-02-11T22:53:59.785Z

Discussão sobre Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar. Os traders compartilham insights e previsões no Polymarket.

Flávio Bolsonaro 63%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%

Renan Santos 6.3%

Romeu Zema 5.7%

$3,515,583 Vol.

4 out 2026

Flávio Bolsonaro

$56,136 Vol.

63%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$66,939 Vol.

15%

Renan Santos

$994,551 Vol.

Romeu Zema

$255,863 Vol.

Michelle Bolsonaro

$70,871 Vol.

Fernando Haddad

$651,184 Vol.

Camilo Santana

$55,978 Vol.

Geraldo Alckmin

$123,229 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado

$288,295 Vol.

Aldo Rebelo

$29,795 Vol.

<1%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$111,010 Vol.

<1%

Ratinho Júnior

$642,602 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$48,371 Vol.

<1%

Helder Barbalho

$1,956 Vol.

<1%

Jair Bolsonaro

$77,333 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Leite

$40,470 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Cristina

$1,000 Vol.

<1%

Flávio Bolsonaro 63%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%

Renan Santos 6.3%

Romeu Zema 5.7%

$3,515,583 Vol.

4 out 2026

Flávio Bolsonaro

$56,136 Vol.

63%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$66,939 Vol.

15%

Renan Santos

$994,551 Vol.

Romeu Zema

$255,863 Vol.

Michelle Bolsonaro

$70,871 Vol.

Fernando Haddad

$651,184 Vol.

Camilo Santana

$55,978 Vol.

Geraldo Alckmin

$123,229 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado

$288,295 Vol.

Aldo Rebelo

$29,795 Vol.

<1%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$111,010 Vol.

<1%

Ratinho Júnior

$642,602 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$48,371 Vol.

<1%

Helder Barbalho

$1,956 Vol.

<1%

Jair Bolsonaro

$77,333 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Leite

$40,470 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Cristina

$1,000 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 63%, followed by "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" has generated $3.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" is "Flávio Bolsonaro" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $3.5 million traded on “Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 63¢ for "Flávio Bolsonaro" in the "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 63% chance that "Flávio Bolsonaro" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 63¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 37¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Oct 4, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" market has an active community of 34 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar

Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar

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Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (34)

Top Holders

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" generated on Polymarket?

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What does a price of 63¢ for "Flávio Bolsonaro" mean?

When does the "Primeiro turno das eleições presidenciais no Brasil: 2º lugar" market close?

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