Recent July 2026 IPCA data at 4.44% year-over-year, down from 4.64% in June and within the Banco Central do Brasil’s 1.5–4.5% target band, anchors trader consensus for Brazil’s full-year 2026 inflation around 5.00–5.49%. The Focus survey’s 5.0% projection, alongside the government’s upward revision to 5.1%, reflects persistent upside risks from fiscal stimulus, resilient labor markets, and global commodity pressures despite three consecutive Selic cuts to 14.00%. Market-implied odds price in gradual moderation from current levels while accounting for potential rebound in food and energy components ahead of year-end releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5,00-5,49% 54.3%
5,50-5,99% 23.7%
4,50-4,99% 18.0%
4,00-4,49% 2.2%
$93,050 Vol.
$93,050 Vol.
12 jan 2027
<3,00%
1%
3,00-3,49%
1%
3,50-3,99%
2%
4,00-4,49%
2%
4,50-4,99%
18%
5,00-5,49%
54%
5,50-5,99%
24%
6,00-6,49%
1%
6,50-6,99%
<1%
7,00%+
2%
5,00-5,49% 54.3%
5,50-5,99% 23.7%
4,50-4,99% 18.0%
4,00-4,49% 2.2%
$93,050 Vol.
$93,050 Vol.
12 jan 2027
<3,00%
$5,669 Vol.
1%
3,00-3,49%
$5,739 Vol.
1%
3,50-3,99%
$13,142 Vol.
2%
4,00-4,49%
$13,506 Vol.
2%
4,50-4,99%
$14,928 Vol.
18%
5,00-5,49%
$13,187 Vol.
54%
5,50-5,99%
$9,078 Vol.
24%
6,00-6,49%
$6,438 Vol.
1%
6,50-6,99%
$6,612 Vol.
<1%
7,00%+
$4,751 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent July 2026 IPCA data at 4.44% year-over-year, down from 4.64% in June and within the Banco Central do Brasil’s 1.5–4.5% target band, anchors trader consensus for Brazil’s full-year 2026 inflation around 5.00–5.49%. The Focus survey’s 5.0% projection, alongside the government’s upward revision to 5.1%, reflects persistent upside risks from fiscal stimulus, resilient labor markets, and global commodity pressures despite three consecutive Selic cuts to 14.00%. Market-implied odds price in gradual moderation from current levels while accounting for potential rebound in food and energy components ahead of year-end releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Mercado Aberto: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volume
$93,050Data de Término
12 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent July 2026 IPCA data at 4.44% year-over-year, down from 4.64% in June and within the Banco Central do Brasil’s 1.5–4.5% target band, anchors trader consensus for Brazil’s full-year 2026 inflation around 5.00–5.49%. The Focus survey’s 5.0% projection, alongside the government’s upward revision to 5.1%, reflects persistent upside risks from fiscal stimulus, resilient labor markets, and global commodity pressures despite three consecutive Selic cuts to 14.00%. Market-implied odds price in gradual moderation from current levels while accounting for potential rebound in food and energy components ahead of year-end releases.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volume
$93,050Data de Término
12 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 IPCA data at 4.44% year-over-year, down from 4.64% in June and within the Banco Central do Brasil’s 1.5–4.5% target band, anchors trader consensus for Brazil’s full-year 2026 inflation around 5.00–5.49%. The Focus survey’s 5.0% projection, alongside the government’s upward revision to 5.1%, reflects persistent upside risks from fiscal stimulus, resilient labor markets, and global commodity pressures despite three consecutive Selic cuts to 14.00%. Market-implied odds price in gradual moderation from current levels while accounting for potential rebound in food and energy components ahead of year-end releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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